BATTER
ATH
Nick Kurtz
PITCHER
BOS
Payton Tolle
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
NICK
KURTZ
VS
PAYTON
TOLLE
52SOLID
BOS @ ATH
1 HR/3 PA
KURTZ
HNDLEFT
HR6/21 vLHP
SLG%.499
Brl/PA%9.0
AVG.264
HIT/G90/94
TOLLE
LEFTHND
4/9 vLHBHR
.363SLG%
4.6Brl/PA%
3.31ERA
0.91HR/9
BOS PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Tolle74th %79th %76th %74th %77th %
Bullpen75th %71st %70th %68th %63rd %
Kurtz BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs TOLLE933.3%1.33333.3%0.0%
L3 vs BOS Bullpen60.0%0.0000.0%0.0%
'26 vs LHP14921.5%0.4114.0%12.8%
'26 All Games42021.4%0.4995.0%18.3%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 48%
HR3
BA.237
SLG.567
HH%71%
wOBA.418
HR2
BA.191
SLG.355
HH%35%
wOBA.284
SinkerUSE 22%
HR0
BA.329
SLG.400
HH%57%
wOBA.377
HR1
BA.317
SLG.439
HH%38%
wOBA.394
CutterUSE 19%
HR0
BA.263
SLG.421
HH%46%
wOBA.392
HR1
BA.218
SLG.327
HH%27%
wOBA.267
CurveballUSE 8%
HR0
BA.353
SLG.647
HH%73%
wOBA.453
HR0
BA.139
SLG.278
HH%35%
wOBA.189
ChangeupUSE 3%
HR0
BA.150
SLG.200
HH%30%
wOBA.263
HR0
BA.091
SLG.364
HH%33%
wOBA.182

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

ATH batter · BOS pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−1.3%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
14/214 · 6.5%
Home/Home
7/205 · 3.4%
7/206 · 3.4%
Away/Away
2/162 · 1.2%
7/134 · 5.2%
Day/Day
4/101 · 4.0%
14/286 · 4.9%
Night/Night
5/266 · 1.9%
6/149 · 4.0%
vs L/vs L
4/110 · 3.6%
15/271 · 5.5%
vs R/vs R
5/257 · 1.9%
Avg0.2
HR1
G6
DateOppScoreABHHR
09/18/25
@
W 5-3310
09/17/25
@
L 4-5610
09/16/25
@
W 2-1300
09/10/25
vs
W 5-4421
09/09/25
vs
L 0-6410
09/08/25
vs
L 0-7400
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
67/100
5.0% HR/PA on the season (21 HR in 420 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
70/100
Barrel 9.0% • HardHit 58.3%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
29/100
0.91 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
27/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .163 (149 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
75/100
1 HR, .333 AVG in 3 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
35/100
Park index 100 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
42/100
2 HR in last 15 G (59 PA)

Batter Season

PA420
HR21
HR/PA5.0%
ISO.235
OPS0.901
Barrel%9.0%
HardHit%58.3%
Avg EV93.5 mph

Pitcher Season

IP89.2
ERA3.31
WHIP1.10
HR9
HR/90.91
K/99.64
BB/92.61
Barrel% Allowed4.6%
HardHit% Allowed34.3%

Head-to-Head

PA3
AB3
H1
HR1
BB0
K1
AVG.333
OPS1.667
Batter vs LHP this season
149 PA · 6 HR · 0.760 OPS