BATTER
MIL
William Contreras
PITCHER
ATL
Chris Sale
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
WILLIAM
CONTRERAS
VS
CHRIS
SALE
25FADE
MIL @ ATL
0 HR/3 PA
CONTRERAS
HNDRIGHT
HR2/6 vLHP
SLG%.399
Brl/PA%5.6
AVG.289
HIT/G79/70
SALE
LEFTHND
5/6 vRHBHR
.311SLG%
3.8Brl/PA%
2.14ERA
0.64HR/9
ATL PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Sale95th %84th %93rd %75th %90th %
Bullpen95th %89th %66th %88th %89th %
Contreras BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs SALE2744.4%0.4440.0%0.0%
L3 vs ATL Bullpen4825.0%0.62512.5%0.0%
'26 vs LHP8627.9%0.4672.3%11.6%
'26 All Games30525.9%0.3992.0%8.9%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward

SliderUSE 41%
HR1
BA.265
SLG.353
HH%31%
wOBA.309
HR0
BA.176
SLG.232
HH%15%
wOBA.240
4-Seam FastballUSE 39%
HR0
BA.219
SLG.406
HH%52%
wOBA.357
HR4
BA.231
SLG.389
HH%46%
wOBA.310
ChangeupUSE 12%
HR0
BA.353
SLG.471
HH%39%
wOBA.410
HR1
BA.303
SLG.424
HH%38%
wOBA.317
SinkerUSE 8%
HR0
BA.329
SLG.400
HH%43%
wOBA.351
HR0
BA.227
SLG.227
HH%24%
wOBA.246

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

MIL batter · ATL pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−3.4%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
4/166 · 2.4%
Home/Home
2/167 · 1.2%
2/139 · 1.4%
Away/Away
4/175 · 2.3%
1/112 · 0.9%
Day/Day
1/88 · 1.1%
5/193 · 2.6%
Night/Night
5/254 · 2.0%
2/86 · 2.3%
vs L/vs L
1/83 · 1.2%
4/219 · 1.8%
vs R/vs R
5/259 · 1.9%
Avg0.0
HR0
G8
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
@
L 3-4420
06/19/26
@
L 2-3400
08/06/25
@
W 5-4500
08/05/25
@
W 7-2500
08/04/25
@
W 3-1100
06/11/25
vs
L 2-6400
06/10/25
vs
W 4-1210
06/09/25
vs
L 1-7410
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
16/100
2.0% HR/PA on the season (6 HR in 305 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
35/100
Barrel 5.6% • HardHit 42.3%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
21/100
0.64 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
17/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .147 (86 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .333 AVG in 3 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
35/100
Park index 100 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
42/100
2 HR in last 15 G (60 PA)

Batter Season

PA305
HR6
HR/PA2.0%
ISO.110
OPS0.750
Barrel%5.6%
HardHit%42.3%
Avg EV89.9 mph

Pitcher Season

IP84.0
ERA2.14
WHIP1.05
HR6
HR/90.64
K/910.61
BB/92.25
Barrel% Allowed3.8%
HardHit% Allowed31.2%

Head-to-Head

PA3
AB3
H1
HR0
BB0
K2
AVG.333
OPS0.667
Batter vs LHP this season
86 PA · 2 HR · 0.862 OPS