BATTER
ATL
Dominic Smith
PITCHER
TB
Nick Martinez
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
DOMINIC
SMITH
VS
NICK
MARTINEZ
28FADE
TB @ ATL
0 HR/2 PA
SMITH
HNDLEFT
HR8/8 vRHP
SLG%.378
Brl/PA%4.1
AVG.256
HIT/G67/103
MARTINEZ
RIGHTHND
12/19 vLHBHR
.396SLG%
5.6Brl/PA%
2.92ERA
1.03HR/9
TB PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Martinez88th %89th %2nd %53rd %64th %
Bullpen71st %85th %60th %78th %49th %
Smith BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs MARTINEZ650.0%0.5000.0%0.0%
L3 vs TB Bullpen4214.3%0.1540.0%7.1%
'26 vs RHP25624.2%0.4033.1%7.0%
'26 All Games29222.9%0.3782.7%7.5%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

SinkerUSE 31%
HR0
HR Rate0/49 0.0%
BA.209
SLG.233
HH%28%
wOBA.234
HR4
HR Rate4/209 1.9%
BA.278
SLG.414
HH%39%
wOBA.312
ChangeupUSE 27%
HR1
HR Rate1/34 2.9%
BA.121
SLG.212
HH%15%
wOBA.159
HR4
HR Rate4/174 2.3%
BA.162
SLG.263
HH%23%
wOBA.200
CutterUSE 21%
HR1
HR Rate1/20 5.0%
BA.278
SLG.500
HH%44%
wOBA.368
HR3
HR Rate3/149 2.0%
BA.246
SLG.394
HH%30%
wOBA.296
4-Seam FastballUSE 13%
HR3
HR Rate3/89 3.4%
BA.329
SLG.468
HH%41%
wOBA.375
HR1
HR Rate1/83 1.2%
BA.276
SLG.539
HH%45%
wOBA.373
CurveballUSE 5%
HR1
HR Rate1/32 3.1%
BA.367
SLG.500
HH%50%
wOBA.377
HR0
HR Rate0/11 0.0%
BA.364
SLG.545
HH%18%
wOBA.391
SliderUSE 4%
HR1
HR Rate1/22 4.5%
BA.250
SLG.438
HH%23%
wOBA.414
HR0
HR Rate0/17 0.0%
BA.588
SLG.765
HH%47%
wOBA.644

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

ATL batter · TB pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+1.7%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
5/146 · 3.4%
Home/Home
12/331 · 3.6%
3/146 · 2.1%
Away/Away
7/332 · 2.1%
2/89 · 2.2%
Day/Day
5/230 · 2.2%
6/203 · 3.0%
Night/Night
14/433 · 3.2%
0/36 · 0.0%
vs L/vs L
12/390 · 3.1%
8/256 · 3.1%
vs R/vs R
7/273 · 2.6%
Avg0.0
HR0
G4
DateOppScoreABHHR
09/10/26
vs
W 3-1200
08/17/25
vs
W 7-1410
08/16/25
vs
L 1-2310
08/15/25
vs
L 6-7520
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
29/100
2.7% HR/PA on the season (8 HR in 292 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
12/100
Barrel 4.1% • HardHit 32.6%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
33/100
1.03 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
9/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .135 (256 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
35/100
Park index 100 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
38/100
1 HR in last 15 G (33 PA)

Batter Season

PA292
HR8
HR/PA2.7%
ISO.122
OPS0.691
Barrel%4.1%
HardHit%32.6%
Avg EV87.8 mph

Pitcher Season

IP166.1
ERA2.92
WHIP1.07
HR19
HR/91.03
K/95.30
BB/91.30
Barrel% Allowed5.6%
HardHit% Allowed33.2%

Head-to-Head

PA2
AB2
H1
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.500
OPS1.000
Batter vs RHP this season
256 PA · 8 HR · 0.723 OPS