BATTER
TOR
Brandon Valenzuela
PITCHER
CHC
Colin Rea
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
BRANDON
VALENZUELA
VS
COLIN
REA
44AVERAGE
TOR @ CHC
0 HR/2 PA
VALENZUELA
HNDSWITCH
HR5/7 vRHP
SLG%.457
Brl/PA%5.9
AVG.261
HIT/G36/49
REA
RIGHTHND
4/12 vSHBHR
.449SLG%
8.8Brl/PA%
4.99ERA
1.37HR/9
CHC PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Rea28th %30th %17th %22nd %34th %
Bullpen61st %49th %41st %59th %37th %
Valenzuela BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs REA650.0%0.5000.0%0.0%
L3 vs CHC Bullpen30.0%0.0000.0%0.0%
'26 vs RHP11323.9%0.4554.4%9.7%
'26 All Games15722.9%0.4574.5%10.8%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs SHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 43%
HR1
BA.208
SLG.313
HH%40%
wOBA.273
HR2
BA.325
SLG.500
HH%44%
wOBA.393
ChangeupUSE 18%
HR1
BA.353
SLG.529
HH%29%
wOBA.416
HR0
BA.163
SLG.204
HH%37%
wOBA.229
SliderUSE 11%
HR2
BA.333
SLG.1333
HH%71%
wOBA.667
HR1
BA.163
SLG.442
HH%56%
wOBA.278
SinkerUSE 9%
HR0
BA.438
SLG.563
HH%58%
wOBA.500
HR0
BA.290
SLG.581
HH%37%
wOBA.406
SweeperUSE 8%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000
HR0
BA.080
SLG.120
HH%18%
wOBA.110
CutterUSE 6%
HR0
BA.250
SLG.250
HH%36%
wOBA.262
HR0
BA.571
SLG.643
HH%46%
wOBA.610
CurveballUSE 5%
HR0
BA.286
SLG.429
HH%22%
wOBA.376
HR1
BA.700
SLG.1200
HH%60%
wOBA.800

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

TOR batter · CHC pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/30/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−7.6%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
5/80 · 6.3%
Home/Home
4/157 · 2.5%
2/77 · 2.6%
Away/Away
8/190 · 4.2%
4/64 · 6.3%
Day/Day
4/150 · 2.7%
3/93 · 3.2%
Night/Night
8/197 · 4.1%
2/44 · 4.5%
vs L/vs L
4/208 · 1.9%
5/113 · 4.4%
vs R/vs R
8/139 · 5.8%
Avg0.0
HR0
G1
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
@
W 8-6410
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
58/100
4.5% HR/PA on the season (7 HR in 157 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
29/100
Barrel 5.9% • HardHit 38.6%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
43/100
1.37 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
42/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .188 (113 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
21/100
Park index 95 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
67/100
3 HR in last 15 G (56 PA)

Batter Season

PA157
HR7
HR/PA4.5%
ISO.196
OPS0.797
Barrel%5.9%
HardHit%38.6%
Avg EV89.6 mph

Pitcher Season

IP79.1
ERA4.99
WHIP1.40
HR12
HR/91.37
K/96.69
BB/93.18
Barrel% Allowed8.8%
HardHit% Allowed42.3%

Head-to-Head

PA2
AB2
H1
HR0
BB0
K1
AVG.500
OPS1.000
Batter vs RHP this season
113 PA · 5 HR · 0.794 OPS