DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
TOR
PITCHER
CHC
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
NATHAN
LUKES
VS
COLIN
REA
19FADE
TOR @ CHC
0 HR/2 PA
LUKES
HNDLEFT
HR2/2 vRHP
SLG%.410
Brl/PA%0.7
AVG.306
HIT/G41/43
REA
RIGHTHND
4/12 vLHBHR
.449SLG%
8.8Brl/PA%
4.99ERA
1.37HR/9
| CHC Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Rea | 28th % | 30th % | 17th % | 22nd % | 34th % |
| Bullpen | 61st % | 49th % | 41st % | 59th % | 37th % |
| Lukes Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs REA | 6 | 0.0% | 0.000 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| L3 vs CHC Bullpen | 20 | 30.0% | 0.545 | 0.0% | 30.0% |
| '26 vs RHP | 122 | 31.1% | 0.460 | 1.6% | 4.1% |
| '26 All Games | 146 | 28.1% | 0.410 | 1.4% | 4.1% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
4-Seam FastballUSE 43%
HR0
BA.333
SLG.359
HH%31%
wOBA.374
HR2
BA.325
SLG.500
HH%44%
wOBA.393
0
.333
.359
31%
.374
4-Seam Fastball43%
SLG vs ref · 45 PA | 139 PA
2
.325
.500
44%
.393
ChangeupUSE 18%
HR0
BA.455
SLG.636
HH%27%
wOBA.473
HR0
BA.163
SLG.204
HH%37%
wOBA.229
0
.455*
.636
27%
.473
Changeup18%
SLG vs ref · 11 PA | 56 PA
0
.163
.204
37%
.229
SliderUSE 11%
HR1
BA.364
SLG.636
HH%30%
wOBA.469
HR1
BA.163
SLG.442
HH%56%
wOBA.278
1
.364*
.636
30%
.469
Slider11%
SLG vs ref · 13 PA | 46 PA
1
.163
.442
56%
.278
SinkerUSE 9%
HR0
BA.259
SLG.259
HH%23%
wOBA.266
HR0
BA.290
SLG.581
HH%37%
wOBA.406
0
.259
.259
23%
.266
Sinker9%
SLG vs ref · 29 PA | 35 PA
0
.290
.581
37%
.406
SweeperUSE 8%
HR0
BA.167
SLG.333
HH%20%
wOBA.179
HR0
BA.080
SLG.120
HH%18%
wOBA.110
0
.167*
.333
20%
.179
Sweeper8%
SLG vs ref · 7 PA | 26 PA
0
.080
.120
18%
.110
CutterUSE 6%
HR0
BA.182
SLG.182
HH%25%
wOBA.208
HR0
BA.571
SLG.643
HH%46%
wOBA.610
0
.182*
.182
25%
.208
Cutter6%
SLG vs ref · 12 PA | 15 PA
0
.571
.643
46%
.610
CurveballUSE 5%
HR1
BA.353
SLG.706
HH%47%
wOBA.444
HR1
BA.700
SLG.1200
HH%60%
wOBA.800
1
.353
.706
47%
.444
Curveball5%
SLG vs ref · 17 PA | 11 PA
1
.700
.1200
60%
.800
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
TOR batter · CHC pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 3/30/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−2.5%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
0/69 · 0.0%
VenueHome/Home
4/157 · 2.5%
2/77 · 2.6%
Away/Away
8/190 · 4.2%
1/68 · 1.5%
First PitchDay/Day
4/150 · 2.7%
1/78 · 1.3%
Night/Night
8/197 · 4.1%
0/24 · 0.0%
Matchupvs L/vs L
4/208 · 1.9%
2/122 · 1.6%
vs R/vs R
8/139 · 5.8%
Avg0.0
HR0
G5
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/20/26 | @ | W 8-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/19/26 | @ | L 2-16 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 08/14/25 | vs | W 2-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 08/13/25 | vs | L 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 08/12/25 | vs | W 5-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
6/100
1.4% HR/PA on the season (2 HR in 146 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
0/100
Barrel 0.7% • HardHit 27.9%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
43/100
1.37 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
3/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .124 (122 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
21/100
Park index 95 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
22/100
1 HR in last 15 G (56 PA)
Batter Season
PA146
HR2
HR/PA1.4%
ISO.104
OPS0.762
Barrel%0.7%
HardHit%27.9%
Avg EV86.2 mph
Pitcher Season
IP79.1
ERA4.99
WHIP1.40
HR12
HR/91.37
K/96.69
BB/93.18
Barrel% Allowed8.8%
HardHit% Allowed42.3%
Head-to-Head
PA2
AB2
H0
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
122 PA · 2 HR · 0.832 OPS