BATTER
TOR
Daulton Varsho
PITCHER
CHC
Colin Rea
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
DAULTON
VARSHO
VS
COLIN
REA
31FADE
TOR @ CHC
0 HR/2 PA
VARSHO
HNDLEFT
HR5/6 vRHP
SLG%.419
Brl/PA%4.2
AVG.256
HIT/G55/65
REA
RIGHTHND
4/12 vLHBHR
.449SLG%
8.8Brl/PA%
4.99ERA
1.37HR/9
CHC PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Rea28th %30th %17th %22nd %34th %
Bullpen61st %49th %41st %59th %37th %
Varsho BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs REA1225.0%0.2500.0%0.0%
L3 vs CHC Bullpen7521.3%0.4445.3%16.0%
'26 vs RHP17922.9%0.4192.8%10.1%
'26 All Games24022.9%0.4192.5%9.2%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 43%
HR3
BA.215
SLG.446
HH%60%
wOBA.328
HR2
BA.325
SLG.500
HH%44%
wOBA.393
ChangeupUSE 18%
HR0
BA.200
SLG.200
HH%21%
wOBA.241
HR0
BA.163
SLG.204
HH%37%
wOBA.229
SliderUSE 11%
HR1
BA.205
SLG.359
HH%23%
wOBA.306
HR1
BA.163
SLG.442
HH%56%
wOBA.278
SinkerUSE 9%
HR0
BA.378
SLG.514
HH%47%
wOBA.463
HR0
BA.290
SLG.581
HH%37%
wOBA.406
SweeperUSE 8%
HR0
BA.222
SLG.222
HH%0%
wOBA.373
HR0
BA.080
SLG.120
HH%18%
wOBA.110
CutterUSE 6%
HR0
BA.235
SLG.294
HH%18%
wOBA.245
HR0
BA.571
SLG.643
HH%46%
wOBA.610
CurveballUSE 5%
HR0
BA.235
SLG.353
HH%33%
wOBA.278
HR1
BA.700
SLG.1200
HH%60%
wOBA.800

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

TOR batter · CHC pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/30/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−7.0%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
3/117 · 2.6%
Home/Home
4/157 · 2.5%
3/123 · 2.4%
Away/Away
8/190 · 4.2%
2/107 · 1.9%
Day/Day
4/150 · 2.7%
4/133 · 3.0%
Night/Night
8/197 · 4.1%
1/61 · 1.6%
vs L/vs L
4/208 · 1.9%
5/179 · 2.8%
vs R/vs R
8/139 · 5.8%
Avg0.5
HR2
G4
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
@
W 8-6411
08/14/25
vs
W 2-1000
08/13/25
vs
L 1-4300
08/12/25
vs
W 5-1421
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
25/100
2.5% HR/PA on the season (6 HR in 240 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
23/100
Barrel 4.2% • HardHit 38.3%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
43/100
1.37 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
27/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .163 (179 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
21/100
Park index 95 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
28/100
1 HR in last 15 G (44 PA)

Batter Season

PA240
HR6
HR/PA2.5%
ISO.163
OPS0.748
Barrel%4.2%
HardHit%38.3%
Avg EV86.0 mph

Pitcher Season

IP79.1
ERA4.99
WHIP1.40
HR12
HR/91.37
K/96.69
BB/93.18
Barrel% Allowed8.8%
HardHit% Allowed42.3%

Head-to-Head

PA2
AB2
H1
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.500
OPS1.000
Batter vs RHP this season
179 PA · 5 HR · 0.749 OPS