DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
CHC
PITCHER
TOR
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
CARSON
KELLY
VS
PATRICK
CORBIN
33FADE
TOR @ CHC
1 HR/9 PA
KELLY
HNDRIGHT
HR3/4 vLHP
SLG%.390
Brl/PA%5.0
AVG.282
HIT/G50/56
CORBIN
LEFTHND
8/8 vRHBHR
.448SLG%
5.9Brl/PA%
4.73ERA
1.12HR/9
| TOR Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Corbin | 35th % | 14th % | 13th % | 11th % | 48th % |
| Bullpen | 80th % | 63rd % | 80th % | 68th % | 87th % |
| Kelly Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs CORBIN | 27 | 44.4% | 1.000 | 11.1% | 22.2% |
| L3 vs TOR Bullpen | 51 | 17.6% | 0.176 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| '26 vs LHP | 70 | 28.6% | 0.550 | 4.3% | 14.3% |
| '26 All Games | 199 | 25.1% | 0.390 | 2.0% | 9.5% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
SinkerUSE 29%
HR0
BA.349
SLG.395
HH%37%
wOBA.362
HR3
BA.341
SLG.518
HH%56%
wOBA.422
0
.349
.395
37%
.362
Sinker29%
SLG vs ref · 47 PA | 96 PA
3
.341
.518
56%
.422
SliderUSE 25%
HR0
BA.211
SLG.316
HH%31%
wOBA.321
HR2
BA.164
SLG.291
HH%31%
wOBA.240
0
.211
.316
31%
.321
Slider25%
SLG vs ref · 45 PA | 62 PA
2
.164
.291
31%
.240
ChangeupUSE 18%
HR1
BA.273
SLG.545
HH%50%
wOBA.375
HR0
BA.114
SLG.143
HH%18%
wOBA.141
1
.273*
.545
50%
.375
Changeup18%
SLG vs ref · 12 PA | 38 PA
0
.114
.143
18%
.141
CutterUSE 16%
HR1
BA.625
SLG.1125
HH%50%
wOBA.735
HR2
BA.450
SLG.775
HH%54%
wOBA.552
1
.625*
.1125
50%
.735
Cutter16%
SLG vs ref · 10 PA | 48 PA
2
.450
.775
54%
.552
4-Seam FastballUSE 9%
HR0
BA.300
SLG.340
HH%47%
wOBA.341
HR0
BA.385
SLG.462
HH%24%
wOBA.373
0
.300
.340
47%
.341
4-Seam Fastball9%
SLG vs ref · 58 PA | 26 PA
0
.385
.462
24%
.373
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
CHC batter · TOR pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+5.9%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
2/107 · 1.9%
VenueHome/Home
3/123 · 2.4%
2/92 · 2.2%
Away/Away
5/167 · 3.0%
3/102 · 2.9%
First PitchDay/Day
1/123 · 0.8%
1/97 · 1.0%
Night/Night
7/167 · 4.2%
3/70 · 4.3%
Matchupvs L/vs L
0/68 · 0.0%
1/129 · 0.8%
vs R/vs R
8/222 · 3.6%
Avg0.3
HR1
G3
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/19/26 | vs | W 16-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 08/14/25 | @ | L 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 08/12/25 | @ | L 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
17/100
2.0% HR/PA on the season (4 HR in 199 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
27/100
Barrel 5.0% • HardHit 39.2%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
36/100
1.12 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
61/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .217 (70 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
56/100
1 HR, .571 AVG in 9 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
21/100
Park index 95 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
48/100
2 HR in last 15 G (52 PA)
Batter Season
PA199
HR4
HR/PA2.0%
ISO.108
OPS0.752
Barrel%5.0%
HardHit%39.2%
Avg EV88.5 mph
Pitcher Season
IP64.2
ERA4.73
WHIP1.53
HR8
HR/91.12
K/96.54
BB/93.20
Barrel% Allowed5.9%
HardHit% Allowed42.6%
Head-to-Head
PA9
AB7
H4
HR1
BB2
K0
AVG.571
OPS1.667
Batter vs LHP this season
70 PA · 3 HR · 0.979 OPS