BATTER
CHC
Alex Bregman
PITCHER
TOR
Patrick Corbin
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
ALEX
BREGMAN
VS
PATRICK
CORBIN
17FADE
TOR @ CHC
0 HR/10 PA
BREGMAN
HNDRIGHT
HR1/6 vLHP
SLG%.350
Brl/PA%3.5
AVG.250
HIT/G75/76
CORBIN
LEFTHND
8/8 vRHBHR
.448SLG%
5.9Brl/PA%
4.73ERA
1.12HR/9
TOR PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Corbin35th %14th %13th %11th %48th %
Bullpen80th %63rd %80th %68th %87th %
Bregman BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs CORBIN3414.7%0.1610.0%8.8%
L3 vs TOR Bullpen4812.5%0.1430.0%12.5%
'26 vs LHP9021.1%0.2971.1%14.4%
'26 All Games34721.6%0.3501.7%11.0%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward

SinkerUSE 29%
HR0
BA.295
SLG.321
HH%37%
wOBA.345
HR3
BA.341
SLG.518
HH%56%
wOBA.422
SliderUSE 25%
HR0
BA.130
SLG.217
HH%30%
wOBA.251
HR2
BA.164
SLG.291
HH%31%
wOBA.240
ChangeupUSE 18%
HR0
BA.261
SLG.348
HH%45%
wOBA.300
HR0
BA.114
SLG.143
HH%18%
wOBA.141
CutterUSE 16%
HR0
BA.429
SLG.786
HH%36%
wOBA.506
HR2
BA.450
SLG.775
HH%54%
wOBA.552
4-Seam FastballUSE 9%
HR1
BA.295
SLG.410
HH%46%
wOBA.352
HR0
BA.385
SLG.462
HH%24%
wOBA.373

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

CHC batter · TOR pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−1.0%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
2/185 · 1.1%
Home/Home
3/123 · 2.4%
4/162 · 2.5%
Away/Away
5/167 · 3.0%
3/152 · 2.0%
Day/Day
1/123 · 0.8%
3/195 · 1.5%
Night/Night
7/167 · 4.2%
1/90 · 1.1%
vs L/vs L
0/68 · 0.0%
5/257 · 1.9%
vs R/vs R
8/222 · 3.6%
Avg0.2
HR2
G12
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
vs
L 6-8410
06/19/26
vs
W 16-2410
09/25/25
@
L 1-6300
09/24/25
@
W 7-1410
09/23/25
@
W 4-1400
05/01/25
@
L 2-4410
04/30/25
@
L 6-7411
04/29/25
@
W 10-2531
04/10/25
vs
W 4-3410
04/09/25
vs
L 1-2300
04/08/25
vs
L 1-6400
04/07/25
vs
L 2-6410
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
12/100
1.7% HR/PA on the season (6 HR in 347 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
21/100
Barrel 3.5% • HardHit 38.5%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
36/100
1.12 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .040 (90 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
0/100
0 HR, .111 AVG in 10 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
21/100
Park index 95 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
18/100
1 HR in last 15 G (68 PA)

Batter Season

PA347
HR6
HR/PA1.7%
ISO.100
OPS0.693
Barrel%3.5%
HardHit%38.5%
Avg EV88.1 mph

Pitcher Season

IP64.2
ERA4.73
WHIP1.53
HR8
HR/91.12
K/96.54
BB/93.20
Barrel% Allowed5.9%
HardHit% Allowed42.6%

Head-to-Head

PA10
AB9
H1
HR0
BB1
K0
AVG.111
OPS0.311
Batter vs LHP this season
90 PA · 1 HR · 0.675 OPS