DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
CHC
PITCHER
CWS
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
ALEX
BREGMAN
VS
LUIS
CASTILLO
32FADE
CWS @ CHC
0 HR/3 PA
BREGMAN
HNDRIGHT
HR13/16 vRHP
SLG%.402
Brl/PA%3.3
AVG.251
HIT/G121/122
CASTILLO
RIGHTHND
3/17 vRHBHR
.444SLG%
6.8Brl/PA%
4.96ERA
1.39HR/9
| CWS Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Castillo | 28th % | 39th % | 48th % | 23rd % | 33rd % |
| Bullpen | 86th % | 69th % | 63rd % | 80th % | 94th % |
| Bregman Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs CASTILLO | 54 | 22.2% | 0.438 | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| L3 vs CWS Bullpen | 75 | 24.0% | 0.429 | 4.0% | 16.0% |
| '26 vs RHP | 417 | 21.8% | 0.407 | 3.1% | 9.6% |
| '26 All Games | 557 | 21.7% | 0.402 | 2.9% | 11.1% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
4-Seam FastballUSE 44%
HR3
HR Rate3/153 2.0%
BA.261
SLG.425
HH%46%
wOBA.346
HR1
HR Rate1/214 0.5%
BA.247
SLG.456
HH%46%
wOBA.353
3
3/153 2.0%
.261
.425
46%
.346
4-Seam Fastball44%
SLG vs ref · 153 PA | 214 PA
1
1/214 0.5%
.247
.456
46%
.353
SliderUSE 26%
HR3
HR Rate3/81 3.7%
BA.203
SLG.391
HH%37%
wOBA.331
HR2
HR Rate2/109 1.8%
BA.275
SLG.549
HH%38%
wOBA.379
3
3/81 3.7%
.203
.391
37%
.331
Slider26%
SLG vs ref · 81 PA | 109 PA
2
2/109 1.8%
.275
.549
38%
.379
SinkerUSE 17%
HR1
HR Rate1/138 0.7%
BA.274
SLG.316
HH%37%
wOBA.332
HR1
HR Rate1/92 1.1%
BA.271
SLG.353
HH%47%
wOBA.325
1
1/138 0.7%
.274
.316
37%
.332
Sinker17%
SLG vs ref · 138 PA | 92 PA
1
1/92 1.1%
.271
.353
47%
.325
ChangeupUSE 13%
HR0
HR Rate0/42 0.0%
BA.222
SLG.306
HH%30%
wOBA.296
HR0
HR Rate0/67 0.0%
BA.277
SLG.369
HH%29%
wOBA.299
0
0/42 0.0%
.222
.306
30%
.296
Changeup13%
SLG vs ref · 42 PA | 67 PA
0
0/67 0.0%
.277
.369
29%
.299
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
CHC batter · CWS pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+1.5%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
5/282 · 1.8%
VenueHome/Home
4/215 · 1.9%
11/275 · 4.0%
Away/Away
13/269 · 4.8%
6/232 · 2.6%
First PitchDay/Day
3/138 · 2.2%
10/325 · 3.1%
Night/Night
14/346 · 4.0%
3/140 · 2.1%
Matchupvs L/vs L
13/284 · 4.6%
13/417 · 3.1%
vs R/vs R
4/200 · 2.0%
Avg0.0
HR0
G10
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/17/26 | @ | L 8-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 05/16/26 | @ | L 3-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 05/15/26 | @ | W 10-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 04/21/25 | vs | W 4-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 04/20/25 | vs | L 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 04/19/25 | vs | W 4-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 04/18/25 | vs | W 10-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 04/13/25 | @ | W 3-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 04/12/25 | @ | L 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 04/11/25 | @ | L 1-11 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
31/100
2.9% HR/PA on the season (16 HR in 557 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
20/100
Barrel 3.3% • HardHit 38.1%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
44/100
1.39 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
25/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .160 (417 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .000 AVG in 3 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
21/100
Park index 95 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
95/100
5 HR in last 15 G (66 PA)
Batter Season
PA557
HR16
HR/PA2.9%
ISO.151
OPS0.745
Barrel%3.3%
HardHit%38.1%
Avg EV88.4 mph
Pitcher Season
IP110.2
ERA4.96
WHIP1.35
HR17
HR/91.39
K/98.21
BB/92.85
Barrel% Allowed6.8%
HardHit% Allowed41.5%
Head-to-Head
PA3
AB3
H0
HR0
BB0
K2
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
417 PA · 13 HR · 0.733 OPS