BATTER
CLE
Patrick Bailey
PITCHER
CIN
Chase Burns
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
PATRICK
BAILEY
VS
CHASE
BURNS
32FADE
CLE @ CIN
0 HR/2 PA
BAILEY
HNDSWITCH
HR4/5 vRHP
SLG%.310
Brl/PA%5.0
AVG.200
HIT/G40/71
BURNS
RIGHTHND
10/12 vSHBHR
.349SLG%
5.3Brl/PA%
2.42ERA
1.01HR/9
CIN PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Burns96th %78th %87th %90th %66th %
Bullpen62nd %55th %42nd %74th %44th %
Bailey BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs BURNS60.0%0.0000.0%0.0%
L3 vs CIN Bullpen300.0%0.0000.0%10.0%
'26 vs RHP11323.9%0.4303.5%4.4%
'26 All Games21818.3%0.3102.3%6.9%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs SHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 57%
HR3
BA.210
SLG.387
HH%61%
wOBA.304
HR6
BA.229
SLG.388
HH%37%
wOBA.330
SliderUSE 37%
HR1
BA.321
SLG.536
HH%40%
wOBA.368
HR2
BA.145
SLG.250
HH%37%
wOBA.201
ChangeupUSE 5%
HR0
BA.100
SLG.100
HH%20%
wOBA.110
HR2
BA.474
SLG.842
HH%25%
wOBA.568

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

CLE batter · CIN pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+2.1%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
3/115 · 2.6%
Home/Home
5/205 · 2.4%
2/103 · 1.9%
Away/Away
7/228 · 3.1%
3/95 · 3.2%
Day/Day
5/183 · 2.7%
2/123 · 1.6%
Night/Night
7/250 · 2.8%
1/35 · 2.9%
vs L/vs L
10/265 · 3.8%
4/183 · 2.2%
vs R/vs R
2/168 · 1.2%
Avg0.0
HR0
G10
DateOppScoreABHHR
05/17/26
vs
W 10-3410
05/15/26
vs
L 6-7200
04/16/26
@
W 3-0300
04/14/26
@
L 1-2300
04/09/25
vs
W 8-6420
04/08/25
vs
L 0-1000
04/07/25
vs
L 0-2300
03/30/25
@
W 6-3000
03/29/25
@
L 2-3300
03/27/25
@
W 6-4410
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
22/100
2.3% HR/PA on the season (5 HR in 218 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
30/100
Barrel 5.0% • HardHit 40.5%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
32/100
1.01 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
36/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .178 (113 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
24/100
Park index 96 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
74/100
3 HR in last 15 G (51 PA)

Batter Season

PA218
HR5
HR/PA2.3%
ISO.110
OPS0.565
Barrel%5.0%
HardHit%40.5%
Avg EV90.2 mph

Pitcher Season

IP107.2
ERA2.42
WHIP1.11
HR12
HR/91.01
K/910.37
BB/93.26
Barrel% Allowed5.3%
HardHit% Allowed36.4%

Head-to-Head

PA2
AB2
H0
HR0
BB0
K1
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
113 PA · 4 HR · 0.716 OPS