DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
STL
PITCHER
CIN
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
NATHAN
CHURCH
VS
RHETT
LOWDER
25FADE
STL @ CIN
0 HR/2 PA
CHURCH
HNDLEFT
HR7/9 vRHP
SLG%.355
Brl/PA%5.0
AVG.233
HIT/G74/104
LOWDER
RIGHTHND
11/12 vLHBHR
.426SLG%
6.6Brl/PA%
5.15ERA
1.15HR/9
| CIN Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Lowder | 23rd % | 13th % | 32nd % | 18th % | 54th % |
| Bullpen | 47th % | 49th % | 62nd % | 72nd % | 44th % |
| Church Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs LOWDER | 6 | 0.0% | 0.000 | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| L3 vs CIN Bullpen | 15 | 0.0% | 0.000 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| '26 vs RHP | 272 | 21.7% | 0.361 | 2.6% | 5.1% |
| '26 All Games | 346 | 21.4% | 0.355 | 2.6% | 5.5% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
SinkerUSE 29%
HR1
HR Rate1/42 2.4%
BA.194
SLG.278
HH%34%
wOBA.249
HR2
HR Rate2/132 1.5%
BA.288
SLG.441
HH%47%
wOBA.382
1
1/42 2.4%
.194
.278
34%
.249
Sinker29%
SLG vs ref · 42 PA | 132 PA
2
2/132 1.5%
.288
.441
47%
.382
SliderUSE 28%
HR2
HR Rate2/52 3.8%
BA.204
SLG.347
HH%26%
wOBA.236
HR5
HR Rate5/113 4.4%
BA.280
SLG.477
HH%38%
wOBA.346
2
2/52 3.8%
.204
.347
26%
.236
Slider28%
SLG vs ref · 52 PA | 113 PA
5
5/113 4.4%
.280
.477
38%
.346
4-Seam FastballUSE 21%
HR0
HR Rate0/90 0.0%
BA.247
SLG.309
HH%39%
wOBA.289
HR1
HR Rate1/97 1.0%
BA.229
SLG.325
HH%39%
wOBA.306
0
0/90 0.0%
.247
.309
39%
.289
4-Seam Fastball21%
SLG vs ref · 90 PA | 97 PA
1
1/97 1.0%
.229
.325
39%
.306
ChangeupUSE 21%
HR2
HR Rate2/67 3.0%
BA.227
SLG.379
HH%28%
wOBA.266
HR2
HR Rate2/75 2.7%
BA.239
SLG.394
HH%24%
wOBA.306
2
2/67 3.0%
.227
.379
28%
.266
Changeup21%
SLG vs ref · 67 PA | 75 PA
2
2/75 2.7%
.239
.394
24%
.306
CurveballUSE 2%
HR0
HR Rate0/30 0.0%
BA.286
SLG.464
HH%26%
wOBA.353
HR1
HR Rate1/3 33.3%
BA.667
SLG.1667
HH%33%
wOBA.967
0
0/30 0.0%
.286
.464
26%
.353
Curveball2%
SLG vs ref · 30 PA | 3 PA
1
1/3 33.3%
.667
.1667
33%
.967
SweeperUSE 0%
HR0
HR Rate0/24 0.0%
BA.174
SLG.217
HH%14%
wOBA.194
HR0
HR Rate0/1 0.0%
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000
0
0/24 0.0%
.174
.217
14%
.194
Sweeper0%
SLG vs ref · 24 PA | 1 PA
0
0/1 0.0%
.000
.000
0%
.000
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
STL batter · CIN pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/33/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+7.3%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
3/163 · 1.8%
VenueHome/Home
7/198 · 3.5%
6/183 · 3.3%
Away/Away
5/225 · 2.2%
4/143 · 2.8%
First PitchDay/Day
3/161 · 1.9%
5/203 · 2.5%
Night/Night
9/262 · 3.4%
2/74 · 2.7%
Matchupvs L/vs L
11/270 · 4.1%
7/272 · 2.6%
vs R/vs R
1/153 · 0.7%
Avg0.0
HR0
G8
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/26/26 | vs | L 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 07/25/26 | vs | W 7-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 07/24/26 | vs | L 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 09/16/25 | vs | W 3-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 09/15/25 | vs | L 6-11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 08/31/25 | @ | L 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 08/30/25 | @ | W 4-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 08/29/25 | @ | W 7-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
27/100
2.6% HR/PA on the season (9 HR in 346 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
12/100
Barrel 5.0% • HardHit 30.7%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
36/100
1.15 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
4/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .127 (272 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
24/100
Park index 96 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
22/100
1 HR in last 15 G (57 PA)
Batter Season
PA346
HR9
HR/PA2.6%
ISO.122
OPS0.633
Barrel%5.0%
HardHit%30.7%
Avg EV85.9 mph
Pitcher Season
IP94.1
ERA5.15
WHIP1.48
HR12
HR/91.15
K/97.35
BB/93.82
Barrel% Allowed6.6%
HardHit% Allowed38.2%
Head-to-Head
PA2
AB1
H0
HR0
BB1
K0
AVG.000
OPS0.500
Batter vs RHP this season
272 PA · 7 HR · 0.637 OPS