DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
Back to STL @ CIN
BATTER
STL
Jordan Walker
PITCHER
CIN
Rhett Lowder
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
JORDAN
WALKER
VS
RHETT
LOWDER
48AVERAGE
STL @ CIN
0 HR/2 PA
WALKER
HNDRIGHT
HR16/24 vRHP
SLG%.495
Brl/PA%8.7
AVG.284
HIT/G132/120
LOWDER
RIGHTHND
1/12 vRHBHR
.426SLG%
6.6Brl/PA%
5.15ERA
1.15HR/9
CIN PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Lowder23rd %13th %32nd %18th %54th %
Bullpen47th %49th %62nd %72nd %44th %
Walker BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs LOWDER1816.7%0.1670.0%0.0%
L3 vs CIN Bullpen6319.0%0.2110.0%9.5%
'26 vs RHP37726.0%0.4784.2%6.1%
'26 All Games51225.8%0.4954.7%7.8%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

SinkerUSE 29%
HR2
HR Rate2/113 1.8%
BA.287
SLG.415
HH%49%
wOBA.379
HR1
HR Rate1/132 0.8%
BA.288
SLG.441
HH%47%
wOBA.382
SliderUSE 28%
HR1
HR Rate1/62 1.6%
BA.254
SLG.373
HH%33%
wOBA.292
HR0
HR Rate0/113 0.0%
BA.280
SLG.477
HH%38%
wOBA.346
4-Seam FastballUSE 21%
HR2
HR Rate2/124 1.6%
BA.256
SLG.453
HH%57%
wOBA.321
HR0
HR Rate0/97 0.0%
BA.229
SLG.325
HH%39%
wOBA.306
ChangeupUSE 21%
HR1
HR Rate1/54 1.9%
BA.294
SLG.549
HH%52%
wOBA.426
HR0
HR Rate0/75 0.0%
BA.239
SLG.394
HH%24%
wOBA.306
CurveballUSE 2%
HR0
HR Rate0/32 0.0%
BA.290
SLG.452
HH%46%
wOBA.309
HR0
HR Rate0/3 0.0%
BA.667
SLG.1667
HH%33%
wOBA.967
SweeperUSE 0%
HR4
HR Rate4/71 5.6%
BA.234
SLG.469
HH%39%
wOBA.349
HR0
HR Rate0/1 0.0%
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

STL batter · CIN pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−3.0%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
10/264 · 3.8%
Home/Home
7/198 · 3.5%
14/248 · 5.6%
Away/Away
5/225 · 2.2%
13/208 · 6.3%
Day/Day
3/161 · 1.9%
11/304 · 3.6%
Night/Night
9/262 · 3.4%
8/135 · 5.9%
vs L/vs L
11/270 · 4.1%
16/377 · 4.2%
vs R/vs R
1/153 · 0.7%
Avg0.2
HR3
G19
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/26/26
vs
L 3-5500
07/25/26
vs
W 7-0420
07/24/26
vs
L 2-4400
06/07/26
vs
W 5-3520
06/06/26
vs
W 6-5421
06/05/26
vs
W 10-3530
05/23/26
@
L 6-7431
05/23/26
@
W 8-1511
09/17/25
vs
L 2-6400
09/16/25
vs
W 3-0200
08/31/25
@
L 4-7400
08/30/25
@
W 4-2300
08/29/25
@
W 7-5400
06/22/25
vs
L 1-4300
06/21/25
vs
W 6-5000
06/20/25
vs
W 6-1400
05/01/25
@
L 1-9200
04/30/25
@
W 9-1410
04/28/25
@
L 1-3310
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
61/100
4.7% HR/PA on the season (24 HR in 512 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
55/100
Barrel 8.7% • HardHit 47.5%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
36/100
1.15 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
48/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .196 (377 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
24/100
Park index 96 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
38/100
2 HR in last 15 G (66 PA)

Batter Season

PA512
HR24
HR/PA4.7%
ISO.211
OPS0.839
Barrel%8.7%
HardHit%47.5%
Avg EV92.6 mph

Pitcher Season

IP94.1
ERA5.15
WHIP1.48
HR12
HR/91.15
K/97.35
BB/93.82
Barrel% Allowed6.6%
HardHit% Allowed38.2%

Head-to-Head

PA2
AB2
H0
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
377 PA · 16 HR · 0.810 OPS