DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
STL
PITCHER
CIN
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
PEDRO
PAGÉS
VS
RHETT
LOWDER
26FADE
STL @ CIN
0 HR/2 PA
PAGÉS
HNDRIGHT
HR4/4 vRHP
SLG%.321
Brl/PA%3.4
AVG.210
HIT/G34/66
LOWDER
RIGHTHND
1/12 vRHBHR
.426SLG%
6.6Brl/PA%
5.15ERA
1.15HR/9
| CIN Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Lowder | 23rd % | 13th % | 32nd % | 18th % | 54th % |
| Bullpen | 47th % | 49th % | 62nd % | 72nd % | 44th % |
| Pagés Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs LOWDER | 6 | 50.0% | 0.500 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| L3 vs CIN Bullpen | 24 | 37.5% | 0.375 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| '26 vs RHP | 104 | 20.2% | 0.391 | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| '26 All Games | 178 | 19.1% | 0.321 | 2.2% | 4.5% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
SinkerUSE 29%
HR1
HR Rate1/31 3.2%
BA.385
SLG.538
HH%42%
wOBA.418
HR1
HR Rate1/132 0.8%
BA.288
SLG.441
HH%47%
wOBA.382
1
1/31 3.2%
.385
.538
42%
.418
Sinker29%
SLG vs ref · 31 PA | 132 PA
1
1/132 0.8%
.288
.441
47%
.382
SliderUSE 28%
HR1
HR Rate1/31 3.2%
BA.258
SLG.419
HH%32%
wOBA.290
HR0
HR Rate0/113 0.0%
BA.280
SLG.477
HH%38%
wOBA.346
1
1/31 3.2%
.258
.419
32%
.290
Slider28%
SLG vs ref · 31 PA | 113 PA
0
0/113 0.0%
.280
.477
38%
.346
4-Seam FastballUSE 21%
HR2
HR Rate2/46 4.3%
BA.179
SLG.333
HH%40%
wOBA.263
HR0
HR Rate0/97 0.0%
BA.229
SLG.325
HH%39%
wOBA.306
2
2/46 4.3%
.179
.333
40%
.263
4-Seam Fastball21%
SLG vs ref · 46 PA | 97 PA
0
0/97 0.0%
.229
.325
39%
.306
ChangeupUSE 21%
HR0
HR Rate0/26 0.0%
BA.160
SLG.240
HH%47%
wOBA.192
HR0
HR Rate0/75 0.0%
BA.239
SLG.394
HH%24%
wOBA.306
0
0/26 0.0%
.160
.240
47%
.192
Changeup21%
SLG vs ref · 26 PA | 75 PA
0
0/75 0.0%
.239
.394
24%
.306
CurveballUSE 2%
HR0
HR Rate0/12 0.0%
BA.091
SLG.091
HH%38%
wOBA.133
HR0
HR Rate0/3 0.0%
BA.667
SLG.1667
HH%33%
wOBA.967
0
0/12 0.0%
.091*
.091
38%
.133
Curveball2%
SLG vs ref · 12 PA | 3 PA
0
0/3 0.0%
.667
.1667
33%
.967
SweeperUSE 0%
HR0
HR Rate0/16 0.0%
BA.267
SLG.333
HH%30%
wOBA.291
HR0
HR Rate0/1 0.0%
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000
0
0/16 0.0%
.267
.333
30%
.291
Sweeper0%
SLG vs ref · 16 PA | 1 PA
0
0/1 0.0%
.000
.000
0%
.000
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
STL batter · CIN pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+0.8%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
3/92 · 3.3%
VenueHome/Home
7/198 · 3.5%
1/86 · 1.2%
Away/Away
5/225 · 2.2%
2/81 · 2.5%
First PitchDay/Day
3/161 · 1.9%
2/97 · 2.1%
Night/Night
9/262 · 3.4%
0/74 · 0.0%
Matchupvs L/vs L
11/270 · 4.1%
4/104 · 3.8%
vs R/vs R
1/153 · 0.7%
Avg0.3
HR3
G11
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/26/26 | vs | L 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 07/24/26 | vs | L 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/06/26 | vs | W 6-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 05/23/26 | @ | L 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 09/16/25 | vs | W 3-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 08/30/25 | @ | W 4-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 08/29/25 | @ | W 7-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 06/21/25 | vs | W 6-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/20/25 | vs | W 6-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 04/30/25 | @ | W 9-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| 04/28/25 | @ | L 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
21/100
2.2% HR/PA on the season (4 HR in 178 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
19/100
Barrel 3.4% • HardHit 37.5%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
36/100
1.15 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
27/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .163 (104 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
24/100
Park index 96 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (22 PA)
Batter Season
PA178
HR4
HR/PA2.2%
ISO.111
OPS0.574
Barrel%3.4%
HardHit%37.5%
Avg EV86.5 mph
Pitcher Season
IP94.1
ERA5.15
WHIP1.48
HR12
HR/91.15
K/97.35
BB/93.82
Barrel% Allowed6.6%
HardHit% Allowed38.2%
Head-to-Head
PA2
AB2
H1
HR0
BB0
K1
AVG.500
OPS1.000
Batter vs RHP this season
104 PA · 4 HR · 0.661 OPS