DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
Back to STL @ CIN
BATTER
STL
Alec Burleson
PITCHER
CIN
Rhett Lowder
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
ALEC
BURLESON
VS
RHETT
LOWDER
53SOLID
STL @ CIN
0 HR/2 PA
BURLESON
HNDLEFT
HR18/21 vRHP
SLG%.494
Brl/PA%8.5
AVG.288
HIT/G135/123
LOWDER
RIGHTHND
11/12 vLHBHR
.426SLG%
6.6Brl/PA%
5.15ERA
1.15HR/9
CIN PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Lowder23rd %13th %32nd %18th %54th %
Bullpen47th %49th %62nd %72nd %44th %
Burleson BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs LOWDER180.0%0.0000.0%16.7%
L3 vs CIN Bullpen5710.5%0.1180.0%10.5%
'26 vs RHP36229.0%0.5865.0%10.2%
'26 All Games52125.9%0.4944.0%8.6%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

SinkerUSE 29%
HR2
HR Rate2/91 2.2%
BA.302
SLG.477
HH%49%
wOBA.355
HR2
HR Rate2/132 1.5%
BA.288
SLG.441
HH%47%
wOBA.382
SliderUSE 28%
HR3
HR Rate3/57 5.3%
BA.250
SLG.462
HH%52%
wOBA.325
HR5
HR Rate5/113 4.4%
BA.280
SLG.477
HH%38%
wOBA.346
4-Seam FastballUSE 21%
HR6
HR Rate6/126 4.8%
BA.325
SLG.570
HH%66%
wOBA.415
HR1
HR Rate1/97 1.0%
BA.229
SLG.325
HH%39%
wOBA.306
ChangeupUSE 21%
HR2
HR Rate2/80 2.5%
BA.360
SLG.547
HH%36%
wOBA.412
HR2
HR Rate2/75 2.7%
BA.239
SLG.394
HH%24%
wOBA.306
CurveballUSE 2%
HR3
HR Rate3/55 5.5%
BA.298
SLG.553
HH%60%
wOBA.410
HR1
HR Rate1/3 33.3%
BA.667
SLG.1667
HH%33%
wOBA.967
SweeperUSE 0%
HR0
HR Rate0/40 0.0%
BA.139
SLG.194
HH%22%
wOBA.240
HR0
HR Rate0/1 0.0%
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

STL batter · CIN pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 3/33/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+13.8%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
7/272 · 2.6%
Home/Home
7/198 · 3.5%
14/249 · 5.6%
Away/Away
5/225 · 2.2%
7/215 · 3.3%
Day/Day
3/161 · 1.9%
14/306 · 4.6%
Night/Night
9/262 · 3.4%
3/159 · 1.9%
vs L/vs L
11/270 · 4.1%
18/362 · 5.0%
vs R/vs R
1/153 · 0.7%
Avg0.2
HR3
G17
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/26/26
vs
L 3-5520
07/25/26
vs
W 7-0430
07/24/26
vs
L 2-4400
06/07/26
vs
W 5-3410
06/06/26
vs
W 6-5310
06/05/26
vs
W 10-3421
05/23/26
@
L 6-7410
05/23/26
@
W 8-1420
09/17/25
vs
L 2-6321
09/16/25
vs
W 3-0420
09/15/25
vs
L 6-11310
06/22/25
vs
L 1-4400
06/21/25
vs
W 6-5521
06/20/25
vs
W 6-1410
05/01/25
@
L 1-9100
04/30/25
@
W 9-1400
04/30/25
@
W 6-0400
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
51/100
4.0% HR/PA on the season (21 HR in 521 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
59/100
Barrel 8.5% • HardHit 49.7%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
36/100
1.15 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
86/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .257 (362 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
24/100
Park index 96 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
100/100
6 HR in last 15 G (63 PA)

Batter Season

PA521
HR21
HR/PA4.0%
ISO.206
OPS0.849
Barrel%8.5%
HardHit%49.7%
Avg EV92.0 mph

Pitcher Season

IP94.1
ERA5.15
WHIP1.48
HR12
HR/91.15
K/97.35
BB/93.82
Barrel% Allowed6.6%
HardHit% Allowed38.2%

Head-to-Head

PA2
AB2
H0
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
362 PA · 18 HR · 0.992 OPS