BATTER
STL
José Fermín
PITCHER
CIN
Rhett Lowder
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
JOSÉ
FERMÍN
VS
RHETT
LOWDER
20FADE
STL @ CIN
0 HR/2 PA
FERMÍN
HNDRIGHT
HR2/5 vRHP
SLG%.357
Brl/PA%1.6
AVG.242
HIT/G55/85
LOWDER
RIGHTHND
1/12 vRHBHR
.426SLG%
6.6Brl/PA%
5.15ERA
1.15HR/9
CIN PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Lowder23rd %13th %32nd %18th %54th %
Bullpen47th %49th %62nd %72nd %44th %
Fermín BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs LOWDER60.0%0.0000.0%0.0%
L3 vs CIN Bullpen2437.5%0.4290.0%0.0%
'26 vs RHP13919.4%0.2981.4%7.2%
'26 All Games25821.3%0.3571.9%9.3%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

SinkerUSE 29%
HR0
HR Rate0/55 0.0%
BA.375
SLG.458
HH%30%
wOBA.396
HR1
HR Rate1/132 0.8%
BA.288
SLG.441
HH%47%
wOBA.382
SliderUSE 28%
HR1
HR Rate1/30 3.3%
BA.192
SLG.346
HH%50%
wOBA.322
HR0
HR Rate0/113 0.0%
BA.280
SLG.477
HH%38%
wOBA.346
4-Seam FastballUSE 21%
HR1
HR Rate1/82 1.2%
BA.211
SLG.423
HH%32%
wOBA.320
HR0
HR Rate0/97 0.0%
BA.229
SLG.325
HH%39%
wOBA.306
ChangeupUSE 21%
HR0
HR Rate0/28 0.0%
BA.192
SLG.192
HH%24%
wOBA.186
HR0
HR Rate0/75 0.0%
BA.239
SLG.394
HH%24%
wOBA.306
CurveballUSE 2%
HR0
HR Rate0/19 0.0%
BA.294
SLG.412
HH%31%
wOBA.328
HR0
HR Rate0/3 0.0%
BA.667
SLG.1667
HH%33%
wOBA.967
SweeperUSE 0%
HR0
HR Rate0/17 0.0%
BA.143
SLG.143
HH%33%
wOBA.282
HR0
HR Rate0/1 0.0%
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

STL batter · CIN pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+1.3%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
3/145 · 2.1%
Home/Home
7/198 · 3.5%
2/113 · 1.8%
Away/Away
5/225 · 2.2%
0/104 · 0.0%
Day/Day
3/161 · 1.9%
5/154 · 3.2%
Night/Night
9/262 · 3.4%
3/119 · 2.5%
vs L/vs L
11/270 · 4.1%
2/139 · 1.4%
vs R/vs R
1/153 · 0.7%
Avg0.1
HR1
G8
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/26/26
vs
L 3-5200
07/25/26
vs
W 7-0100
07/24/26
vs
L 2-4000
06/07/26
vs
W 5-3410
06/06/26
vs
W 6-5430
06/05/26
vs
W 10-3310
05/23/26
@
L 6-7111
08/29/25
@
W 7-5000
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
16/100
1.9% HR/PA on the season (5 HR in 258 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
8/100
Barrel 1.6% • HardHit 32.3%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
36/100
1.15 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .080 (139 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
24/100
Park index 96 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (53 PA)

Batter Season

PA258
HR5
HR/PA1.9%
ISO.115
OPS0.672
Barrel%1.6%
HardHit%32.3%
Avg EV86.8 mph

Pitcher Season

IP94.1
ERA5.15
WHIP1.48
HR12
HR/91.15
K/97.35
BB/93.82
Barrel% Allowed6.6%
HardHit% Allowed38.2%

Head-to-Head

PA2
AB2
H0
HR0
BB0
K1
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
139 PA · 2 HR · 0.577 OPS