BATTER
COL
Ezequiel Tovar
PITCHER
CHC
Edward Cabrera
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
EZEQUIEL
TOVAR
VS
EDWARD
CABRERA
29FADE
CHC @ COL
0 HR/4 PA
TOVAR
HNDRIGHT
HR5/5 vRHP
SLG%.338
Brl/PA%5.7
AVG.215
HIT/G49/65
CABRERA
RIGHTHND
7/11 vRHBHR
.462SLG%
8.9Brl/PA%
4.99ERA
1.73HR/9
CHC PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Cabrera25th %26th %48th %19th %15th %
Bullpen68th %60th %47th %62nd %59th %
Tovar BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs CABRERA120.0%0.0000.0%0.0%
L3 vs CHC Bullpen8043.8%0.6887.5%3.8%
'26 vs RHP18819.7%0.3512.7%5.3%
'26 All Games24719.8%0.3382.0%5.7%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

ChangeupUSE 33%
HR1
BA.143
SLG.286
HH%31%
wOBA.224
HR1
BA.273
SLG.375
HH%41%
wOBA.310
SinkerUSE 20%
HR0
BA.292
SLG.292
HH%52%
wOBA.361
HR2
BA.360
SLG.600
HH%41%
wOBA.439
CurveballUSE 19%
HR0
BA.375
SLG.813
HH%36%
wOBA.506
HR1
BA.206
SLG.500
HH%53%
wOBA.336
4-Seam FastballUSE 17%
HR1
BA.139
SLG.215
HH%34%
wOBA.188
HR3
BA.300
SLG.633
HH%44%
wOBA.443
SliderUSE 12%
HR2
BA.282
SLG.487
HH%24%
wOBA.312
HR0
BA.158
SLG.158
HH%21%
wOBA.170
Avg0.1
HR1
G8
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/10/26
vs
W 3-2420
06/09/26
vs
W 7-3411
08/31/25
vs
W 6-5400
08/30/25
vs
L 3-4420
08/29/25
vs
L 7-11310
05/28/25
@
L 1-2400
05/27/25
@
L 3-4500
05/26/25
@
L 1-3310
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
17/100
2.0% HR/PA on the season (5 HR in 247 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
24/100
Barrel 5.7% • HardHit 36.0%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
55/100
1.73 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
11/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .138 (188 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .000 AVG in 4 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
15/100
Park index 93 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
78/100
4 HR in last 15 G (64 PA)

Batter Season

PA247
HR5
HR/PA2.0%
ISO.123
OPS0.601
Barrel%5.7%
HardHit%36.0%
Avg EV88.0 mph

Pitcher Season

IP57.2
ERA4.99
WHIP1.42
HR11
HR/91.73
K/98.27
BB/93.28
Barrel% Allowed8.9%
HardHit% Allowed40.9%

Head-to-Head

PA4
AB4
H0
HR0
BB0
K1
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
188 PA · 5 HR · 0.606 OPS