BATTER
CHC
Carson Kelly
PITCHER
COL
Ryan Feltner
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
CARSON
KELLY
VS
RYAN
FELTNER
21FADE
CHC @ COL
0 HR/1 PA
KELLY
HNDRIGHT
HR0/2 vRHP
SLG%.358
Brl/PA%4.5
AVG.283
HIT/G45/50
FELTNER
RIGHTHND
3/5 vRHBHR
.445SLG%
9.2Brl/PA%
4.22ERA
1.41HR/9
COL PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Feltner42nd %70th %15th %64th %34th %
Bullpen29th %24th %44th %28th %68th %
Kelly BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs FELTNER3100.0%1.0000.0%0.0%
L3 vs COL Bullpen4936.7%0.6756.1%18.4%
'26 vs RHP11224.1%0.2940.0%6.3%
'26 All Games17825.3%0.3581.1%9.0%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

SliderUSE 25%
HR0
BA.194
SLG.222
HH%30%
wOBA.270
HR0
BA.143
SLG.214
HH%27%
wOBA.236
4-Seam FastballUSE 25%
HR0
BA.286
SLG.306
HH%45%
wOBA.325
HR2
BA.306
SLG.639
HH%63%
wOBA.436
ChangeupUSE 17%
HR0
BA.273
SLG.545
HH%50%
wOBA.375
HR1
BA.190
SLG.381
HH%30%
wOBA.261
SinkerUSE 14%
HR0
BA.342
SLG.395
HH%41%
wOBA.354
HR0
BA.333
SLG.533
HH%62%
wOBA.425
SweeperUSE 12%
HR0
BA.250
SLG.333
HH%29%
wOBA.254
HR0
BA.154
SLG.308
HH%33%
wOBA.192
CurveballUSE 8%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%33%
wOBA.000
HR0
BA.167
SLG.667
HH%33%
wOBA.333
Avg0.0
HR0
G5
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/10/26
@
L 2-3100
06/09/26
@
L 3-7110
08/30/25
@
W 4-3200
05/28/25
vs
W 2-1300
05/27/25
vs
W 4-3100
Advertisement

Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
2/100
1.1% HR/PA on the season (2 HR in 178 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
28/100
Barrel 4.5% • HardHit 40.3%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
44/100
1.41 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .029 (112 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
15/100
Park index 93 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (47 PA)

Batter Season

PA178
HR2
HR/PA1.1%
ISO.075
OPS0.718
Barrel%4.5%
HardHit%40.3%
Avg EV89.0 mph

Pitcher Season

IP32.0
ERA4.22
WHIP1.16
HR5
HR/91.41
K/96.47
BB/92.81
Barrel% Allowed9.2%
HardHit% Allowed44.8%

Head-to-Head

PA1
AB1
H1
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.1000
OPS2.000
Batter vs RHP this season
112 PA · 0 HR · 0.624 OPS