BATTER
COL
Ezequiel Tovar
PITCHER
PIT
Paul Skenes
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
EZEQUIEL
TOVAR
VS
PAUL
SKENES
16FADE
PIT @ COL
0 HR/11 PA
TOVAR
HNDRIGHT
HR5/5 vRHP
SLG%.327
Brl/PA%5.2
AVG.213
HIT/G54/72
SKENES
RIGHTHND
4/9 vRHBHR
.328SLG%
3.7Brl/PA%
2.86ERA
0.92HR/9
PIT PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Skenes84th %95th %97th %89th %65th %
Bullpen57th %45th %82nd %68th %74th %
Tovar BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs SKENES339.1%0.1000.0%9.1%
L3 vs PIT Bullpen3625.0%0.2730.0%0.0%
'26 vs RHP20519.5%0.3372.4%5.4%
'26 All Games27419.7%0.3271.8%5.5%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 37%
HR1
BA.140
SLG.209
HH%32%
wOBA.183
HR2
BA.168
SLG.319
HH%43%
wOBA.244
ChangeupUSE 16%
HR1
BA.182
SLG.318
HH%29%
wOBA.255
HR0
BA.208
SLG.358
HH%17%
wOBA.253
SweeperUSE 16%
HR0
BA.160
SLG.160
HH%31%
wOBA.185
HR1
BA.107
SLG.214
HH%24%
wOBA.217
SinkerUSE 13%
HR0
BA.276
SLG.276
HH%50%
wOBA.346
HR1
BA.220
SLG.415
HH%51%
wOBA.327
Split-FingerUSE 12%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%33%
wOBA.000
HR0
BA.359
SLG.385
HH%36%
wOBA.358
SliderUSE 5%
HR2
BA.286
SLG.476
HH%23%
wOBA.311
HR0
BA.148
SLG.222
HH%31%
wOBA.211
CurveballUSE 1%
HR0
BA.316
SLG.684
HH%33%
wOBA.430
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

COL batter · PIT pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 3/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−0.1%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
3/122 · 2.5%
Home/Home
7/202 · 3.5%
2/152 · 1.3%
Away/Away
2/148 · 1.4%
1/86 · 1.2%
Day/Day
6/138 · 4.3%
4/188 · 2.1%
Night/Night
3/212 · 1.4%
0/69 · 0.0%
vs L/vs L
5/208 · 2.4%
5/205 · 2.4%
vs R/vs R
4/142 · 2.8%
Avg0.0
HR0
G11
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
vs
W 2-1300
06/19/26
vs
W 4-3420
05/14/26
@
L 2-7310
05/13/26
@
W 10-4310
05/12/26
@
L 1-3300
08/24/25
@
L 0-4310
08/23/25
@
L 1-5300
08/22/25
@
L 0-9300
08/03/25
vs
L 5-9400
08/02/25
vs
W 8-5410
08/01/25
vs
W 17-16640
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
14/100
1.8% HR/PA on the season (5 HR in 274 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
20/100
Barrel 5.2% • HardHit 34.8%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
29/100
0.92 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
4/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .126 (205 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
0/100
0 HR, .100 AVG in 11 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
15/100
Park index 93 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
20/100
1 HR in last 15 G (61 PA)

Batter Season

PA274
HR5
HR/PA1.8%
ISO.114
OPS0.586
Barrel%5.2%
HardHit%34.8%
Avg EV87.8 mph

Pitcher Season

IP88.0
ERA2.86
WHIP0.93
HR9
HR/90.92
K/910.94
BB/91.84
Barrel% Allowed3.7%
HardHit% Allowed35.9%

Head-to-Head

PA11
AB10
H1
HR0
BB1
K3
AVG.100
OPS0.282
Batter vs RHP this season
205 PA · 5 HR · 0.591 OPS