BATTER
COL
Jake McCarthy
PITCHER
PIT
Paul Skenes
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
JAKE
MCCARTHY
VS
PAUL
SKENES
23FADE
PIT @ COL
0 HR/6 PA
MCCARTHY
HNDLEFT
HR5/5 vRHP
SLG%.467
Brl/PA%3.8
AVG.292
HIT/G57/62
SKENES
RIGHTHND
5/9 vLHBHR
.328SLG%
3.7Brl/PA%
2.86ERA
0.92HR/9
PIT PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Skenes84th %95th %97th %89th %65th %
Bullpen57th %45th %82nd %68th %74th %
McCarthy BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs SKENES1850.0%0.5000.0%0.0%
L3 vs PIT Bullpen180.0%0.0000.0%0.0%
'26 vs RHP17424.7%0.4742.9%7.5%
'26 All Games21526.5%0.4672.3%6.0%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 37%
HR2
BA.291
SLG.443
HH%23%
wOBA.344
HR2
BA.168
SLG.319
HH%43%
wOBA.244
ChangeupUSE 16%
HR0
BA.150
SLG.250
HH%21%
wOBA.195
HR1
BA.208
SLG.358
HH%17%
wOBA.253
SweeperUSE 16%
HR0
BA.200
SLG.300
HH%0%
wOBA.259
HR0
BA.107
SLG.214
HH%24%
wOBA.217
SinkerUSE 13%
HR1
BA.438
SLG.688
HH%42%
wOBA.501
HR1
BA.220
SLG.415
HH%51%
wOBA.327
Split-FingerUSE 12%
HR1
BA.1000
SLG.2667
HH%67%
wOBA.1500
HR0
BA.359
SLG.385
HH%36%
wOBA.358
SliderUSE 5%
HR0
BA.167
SLG.167
HH%0%
wOBA.150
HR0
BA.148
SLG.222
HH%31%
wOBA.211
CurveballUSE 1%
HR0
BA.278
SLG.333
HH%25%
wOBA.323
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

COL batter · PIT pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 3/30/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+1.4%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
4/101 · 4.0%
Home/Home
7/202 · 3.5%
1/114 · 0.9%
Away/Away
2/148 · 1.4%
1/60 · 1.7%
Day/Day
6/138 · 4.3%
4/155 · 2.6%
Night/Night
3/212 · 1.4%
0/41 · 0.0%
vs L/vs L
5/208 · 2.4%
5/174 · 2.9%
vs R/vs R
4/142 · 2.8%
Avg0.2
HR1
G6
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
vs
W 2-1421
06/19/26
vs
W 4-3410
05/13/26
@
W 10-4210
05/12/26
@
L 1-3200
07/27/25
@
L 0-6420
07/25/25
@
W 1-0410
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
22/100
2.3% HR/PA on the season (5 HR in 215 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
3/100
Barrel 3.8% • HardHit 24.2%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
29/100
0.92 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
47/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .195 (174 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .500 AVG in 6 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
15/100
Park index 93 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
57/100
3 HR in last 15 G (66 PA)

Batter Season

PA215
HR5
HR/PA2.3%
ISO.175
OPS0.802
Barrel%3.8%
HardHit%24.2%
Avg EV84.7 mph

Pitcher Season

IP88.0
ERA2.86
WHIP0.93
HR9
HR/90.92
K/910.94
BB/91.84
Barrel% Allowed3.7%
HardHit% Allowed35.9%

Head-to-Head

PA6
AB6
H3
HR0
BB0
K1
AVG.500
OPS1.000
Batter vs RHP this season
174 PA · 5 HR · 0.807 OPS