BATTER
CLE
Patrick Bailey
PITCHER
HOU
Spencer Arrighetti
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
PATRICK
BAILEY
VS
SPENCER
ARRIGHETTI
18FADE
CLE @ HOU
0 HR/3 PA
BAILEY
HNDSWITCH
HR1/2 vRHP
SLG%.259
Brl/PA%4.7
AVG.182
HIT/G26/51
ARRIGHETTI
RIGHTHND
3/6 vSHBHR
.271SLG%
3.3Brl/PA%
3.13ERA
0.78HR/9
HOU PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Arrighetti78th %61st %61st %87th %82nd %
Bullpen57th %55th %64th %80th %55th %
Bailey BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs ARRIGHETTI90.0%0.0000.0%66.7%
L3 vs HOU Bullpen3215.6%0.1560.0%0.0%
'26 vs RHP5724.6%0.4001.8%3.5%
'26 All Games15416.9%0.2591.3%6.5%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs SHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

CurveballUSE 34%
HR0
BA.200
SLG.200
HH%25%
wOBA.300
HR0
BA.136
SLG.160
HH%16%
wOBA.220
4-Seam FastballUSE 31%
HR1
BA.209
SLG.302
HH%58%
wOBA.253
HR0
BA.203
SLG.288
HH%43%
wOBA.296
SweeperUSE 14%
HR0
BA.125
SLG.250
HH%50%
wOBA.156
HR0
BA.225
SLG.325
HH%22%
wOBA.330
SinkerUSE 11%
HR0
BA.059
SLG.118
HH%50%
wOBA.223
HR0
BA.263
SLG.263
HH%25%
wOBA.335
ChangeupUSE 7%
HR0
BA.091
SLG.091
HH%12%
wOBA.109
HR0
BA.333
SLG.417
HH%42%
wOBA.382
CutterUSE 4%
HR0
BA.182
SLG.364
HH%30%
wOBA.291
HR0
BA.286
SLG.571
HH%42%
wOBA.403

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

CLE batter · HOU pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 0/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+1.4%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
1/76 · 1.3%
Home/Home
5/123 · 4.1%
1/78 · 1.3%
Away/Away
1/170 · 0.6%
1/60 · 1.7%
Day/Day
1/122 · 0.8%
1/94 · 1.1%
Night/Night
5/171 · 2.9%
1/27 · 3.7%
vs L/vs L
3/167 · 1.8%
1/127 · 0.8%
vs R/vs R
3/126 · 2.4%
Avg0.0
HR0
G5
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
@
W 8-1430
06/19/26
@
L 3-9310
04/02/25
@
W 6-3100
04/01/25
@
W 3-1200
03/31/25
@
W 7-2300
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
5/100
1.3% HR/PA on the season (2 HR in 154 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
22/100
Barrel 4.7% • HardHit 37.0%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
25/100
0.78 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
16/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .145 (57 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .000 AVG in 3 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
32/100
Park index 99 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (46 PA)

Batter Season

PA154
HR2
HR/PA1.3%
ISO.077
OPS0.493
Barrel%4.7%
HardHit%37.0%
Avg EV89.6 mph

Pitcher Season

IP69.0
ERA3.13
WHIP1.20
HR6
HR/90.78
K/98.87
BB/94.17
Barrel% Allowed3.3%
HardHit% Allowed29.3%

Head-to-Head

PA3
AB1
H0
HR0
BB2
K0
AVG.000
OPS0.667
Batter vs RHP this season
57 PA · 1 HR · 0.681 OPS