DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
MIN
PITCHER
HOU
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
ALEX
JACKSON
VS
MIKE
BURROWS
30FADE
MIN @ HOU
JACKSON
HNDRIGHT
HR1/1 vRHP
SLG%.435
Brl/PA%1.5
AVG.323
HIT/G20/25
BURROWS
RIGHTHND
7/21 vRHBHR
.508SLG%
6.1Brl/PA%
5.99ERA
2.01HR/9
| HOU Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Burrows | 11th % | 10th % | 25th % | 7th % | 7th % |
| Bullpen | 66th % | 64th % | 72nd % | 76th % | 54th % |
| Jackson Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs BURROWS | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| L3 vs HOU Bullpen | 9 | 0.0% | 0.000 | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| '26 vs RHP | 44 | 36.4% | 0.548 | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| '26 All Games | 65 | 30.8% | 0.435 | 1.5% | 1.5% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
4-Seam FastballUSE 29%
HR0
BA.176
SLG.235
HH%22%
wOBA.208
HR3
BA.316
SLG.716
HH%53%
wOBA.454
0
.176
.235
22%
.208
4-Seam Fastball29%
SLG vs ref · 18 PA | 104 PA
3
.316
.716
53%
.454
ChangeupUSE 27%
HR0
BA.429
SLG.429
HH%20%
wOBA.386
HR0
BA.248
SLG.305
HH%27%
wOBA.305
0
.429*
.429
20%
.386
Changeup27%
SLG vs ref · 7 PA | 119 PA
0
.248
.305
27%
.305
SliderUSE 17%
HR1
BA.625
SLG.1125
HH%80%
wOBA.744
HR1
BA.301
SLG.521
HH%33%
wOBA.369
1
.625*
.1125
80%
.744
Slider17%
SLG vs ref · 8 PA | 77 PA
1
.301
.521
33%
.369
CurveballUSE 14%
HR0
BA.500
SLG.500
HH%0%
wOBA.500
HR0
BA.195
SLG.415
HH%38%
wOBA.300
0
.500*
.500
0%
.500
Curveball14%
SLG vs ref · 5 PA | 45 PA
0
.195
.415
38%
.300
SinkerUSE 14%
HR0
BA.267
SLG.333
HH%43%
wOBA.291
HR3
BA.371
SLG.571
HH%42%
wOBA.441
0
.267
.333
43%
.291
Sinker14%
SLG vs ref · 16 PA | 76 PA
3
.371
.571
42%
.441
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
MIN batter · HOU pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−0.5%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
0/23 · 0.0%
VenueHome/Home
10/195 · 5.1%
1/42 · 2.4%
Away/Away
11/228 · 4.8%
1/32 · 3.1%
First PitchDay/Day
8/153 · 5.2%
0/33 · 0.0%
Night/Night
13/270 · 4.8%
0/21 · 0.0%
Matchupvs L/vs L
14/243 · 5.8%
1/44 · 2.3%
vs R/vs R
7/180 · 3.9%
Avg0.0
HR0
G5
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/30/26 | @ | L 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 08/24/25 | vs | W 3-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 08/22/25 | vs | L 7-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 08/17/25 | @ | W 12-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 08/16/25 | @ | L 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
9/100
1.5% HR/PA on the season (1 HR in 65 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
13/100
Barrel 1.5% • HardHit 34.9%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
63/100
2.01 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
29/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .167 (44 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
32/100
Park index 99 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
34/100
1 HR in last 15 G (37 PA)
Batter Season
PA65
HR1
HR/PA1.5%
ISO.112
OPS0.789
Barrel%1.5%
HardHit%34.9%
Avg EV87.4 mph
Pitcher Season
IP94.2
ERA5.99
WHIP1.55
HR21
HR/92.01
K/97.13
BB/93.33
Barrel% Allowed6.1%
HardHit% Allowed38.8%
Head-to-Head
No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs RHP this season
44 PA · 1 HR · 0.957 OPS