DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
Live Slate
BATTER
MIA
PITCHER
AZ
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
OTTO
LOPEZ
VS
MERRILL
KELLY
33FADE
AZ @ MIA
0 HR/7 PA
LOPEZ
HNDRIGHT
HR4/5 vRHP
SLG%.491
Brl/PA%6.0
AVG.345
HIT/G92/68
KELLY
RIGHTHND
3/13 vRHBHR
.524SLG%
12.4Brl/PA%
5.67ERA
1.95HR/9
| AZ Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Kelly | 13th % | 16th % | 4th % | 19th % | 9th % |
| Bullpen | 82nd % | 89th % | 43rd % | 91st % | 87th % |
| Lopez Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs KELLY | 22 | 72.7% | 0.727 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| L3 vs AZ Bullpen | 36 | 16.7% | 0.200 | 0.0% | 8.3% |
| '26 vs RHP | 214 | 27.6% | 0.432 | 1.9% | 3.7% |
| '26 All Games | 285 | 32.3% | 0.491 | 1.8% | 3.5% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
ChangeupUSE 26%
HR0
BA.286
SLG.400
HH%20%
wOBA.290
HR1
BA.239
SLG.403
HH%50%
wOBA.309
0
.286
.400
20%
.290
Changeup26%
SLG vs ref · 36 PA | 73 PA
1
.239
.403
50%
.309
4-Seam FastballUSE 26%
HR1
BA.351
SLG.526
HH%60%
wOBA.402
HR0
BA.288
SLG.615
HH%49%
wOBA.431
1
.351
.526
60%
.402
4-Seam Fastball26%
SLG vs ref · 64 PA | 63 PA
0
.288
.615
49%
.431
CutterUSE 15%
HR0
BA.286
SLG.286
HH%60%
wOBA.318
HR0
BA.455
SLG.970
HH%48%
wOBA.610
0
.286
.286
60%
.318
Cutter15%
SLG vs ref · 22 PA | 39 PA
0
.455
.970
48%
.610
SliderUSE 13%
HR1
BA.408
SLG.592
HH%42%
wOBA.451
HR0
BA.194
SLG.278
HH%19%
wOBA.254
1
.408
.592
42%
.451
Slider13%
SLG vs ref · 50 PA | 38 PA
0
.194
.278
19%
.254
CurveballUSE 10%
HR0
BA.208
SLG.292
HH%25%
wOBA.292
HR0
BA.118
SLG.294
HH%50%
wOBA.171
0
.208
.292
25%
.292
Curveball10%
SLG vs ref · 24 PA | 17 PA
0
.118
.294
50%
.171
SinkerUSE 9%
HR2
BA.455
SLG.727
HH%63%
wOBA.544
HR2
BA.292
SLG.583
HH%48%
wOBA.380
2
.455
.727
63%
.544
Sinker9%
SLG vs ref · 51 PA | 27 PA
2
.292
.583
48%
.380
Avg0.2
HR2
G9
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | vs | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 06/10/26 | vs | W 8-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 06/09/26 | vs | W 10-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 06/29/25 | @ | W 6-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 06/28/25 | @ | W 8-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| 06/27/25 | @ | W 9-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 04/17/25 | vs | L 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 04/16/25 | vs | L 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 04/15/25 | vs | L 4-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
13/100
1.8% HR/PA on the season (5 HR in 285 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
42/100
Barrel 6.0% • HardHit 45.3%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
61/100
1.95 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
10/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .136 (214 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .714 AVG in 7 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
47/100
Park index 104 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
20/100
1 HR in last 15 G (64 PA)
Batter Season
PA285
HR5
HR/PA1.8%
ISO.146
OPS0.863
Barrel%6.0%
HardHit%45.3%
Avg EV90.5 mph
Pitcher Season
IP60.1
ERA5.67
WHIP1.49
HR13
HR/91.95
K/95.52
BB/93.88
Barrel% Allowed12.4%
HardHit% Allowed44.8%
Head-to-Head
PA7
AB7
H5
HR0
BB0
K2
AVG.714
OPS1.429
Batter vs RHP this season
214 PA · 4 HR · 0.764 OPS