DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
Live Slate
BATTER
MIA
PITCHER
AZ
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
KYLE
STOWERS
VS
MERRILL
KELLY
48AVERAGE
AZ @ MIA
1 HR/5 PA
STOWERS
HNDLEFT
HR5/5 vRHP
SLG%.383
Brl/PA%5.3
AVG.216
HIT/G36/46
KELLY
RIGHTHND
10/13 vLHBHR
.524SLG%
12.4Brl/PA%
5.67ERA
1.95HR/9
| AZ Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Kelly | 13th % | 16th % | 4th % | 19th % | 9th % |
| Bullpen | 82nd % | 89th % | 43rd % | 91st % | 87th % |
| Stowers Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs KELLY | 15 | 40.0% | 1.000 | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| L3 vs AZ Bullpen | 24 | 25.0% | 0.286 | 0.0% | 12.5% |
| '26 vs RHP | 145 | 20.0% | 0.422 | 3.4% | 9.0% |
| '26 All Games | 189 | 19.0% | 0.383 | 2.6% | 9.0% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
ChangeupUSE 26%
HR0
BA.200
SLG.300
HH%47%
wOBA.245
HR1
BA.239
SLG.403
HH%50%
wOBA.309
0
.200
.300
47%
.245
Changeup26%
SLG vs ref · 30 PA | 73 PA
1
.239
.403
50%
.309
4-Seam FastballUSE 26%
HR1
BA.193
SLG.298
HH%52%
wOBA.258
HR5
BA.288
SLG.615
HH%49%
wOBA.431
1
.193
.298
52%
.258
4-Seam Fastball26%
SLG vs ref · 63 PA | 63 PA
5
.288
.615
49%
.431
CutterUSE 15%
HR1
BA.429
SLG.1000
HH%67%
wOBA.606
HR3
BA.455
SLG.970
HH%48%
wOBA.610
1
.429*
.1000
67%
.606
Cutter15%
SLG vs ref · 8 PA | 39 PA
3
.455
.970
48%
.610
SliderUSE 13%
HR1
BA.182
SLG.364
HH%50%
wOBA.230
HR0
BA.194
SLG.278
HH%19%
wOBA.254
1
.182
.364
50%
.230
Slider13%
SLG vs ref · 22 PA | 38 PA
0
.194
.278
19%
.254
CurveballUSE 10%
HR1
BA.333
SLG.778
HH%43%
wOBA.521
HR1
BA.118
SLG.294
HH%50%
wOBA.171
1
.333*
.778
43%
.521
Curveball10%
SLG vs ref · 13 PA | 17 PA
1
.118
.294
50%
.171
SinkerUSE 9%
HR0
BA.238
SLG.381
HH%44%
wOBA.394
HR0
BA.292
SLG.583
HH%48%
wOBA.380
0
.238
.381
44%
.394
Sinker9%
SLG vs ref · 27 PA | 27 PA
0
.292
.583
48%
.380
Avg0.2
HR2
G9
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | vs | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/10/26 | vs | W 8-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 06/09/26 | vs | W 10-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 06/29/25 | @ | W 6-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 06/28/25 | @ | W 8-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 06/27/25 | @ | W 9-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 04/17/25 | vs | L 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 04/16/25 | vs | L 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 04/15/25 | vs | L 4-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
27/100
2.6% HR/PA on the season (5 HR in 189 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
48/100
Barrel 5.3% • HardHit 50.0%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
61/100
1.95 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
47/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .195 (145 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
75/100
1 HR, .400 AVG in 5 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
47/100
Park index 104 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
40/100
2 HR in last 15 G (62 PA)
Batter Season
PA189
HR5
HR/PA2.6%
ISO.167
OPS0.681
Barrel%5.3%
HardHit%50.0%
Avg EV90.7 mph
Pitcher Season
IP60.1
ERA5.67
WHIP1.49
HR13
HR/91.95
K/95.52
BB/93.88
Barrel% Allowed12.4%
HardHit% Allowed44.8%
Head-to-Head
PA5
AB5
H2
HR1
BB0
K1
AVG.400
OPS1.400
Batter vs RHP this season
145 PA · 5 HR · 0.735 OPS