BATTER
AZ
Nolan Arenado
PITCHER
MIA
Tyler Phillips
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
NOLAN
ARENADO
VS
TYLER
PHILLIPS
30FADE
AZ @ MIA
0 HR/1 PA
ARENADO
HNDRIGHT
HR6/8 vRHP
SLG%.430
Brl/PA%4.7
AVG.256
HIT/G53/63
PHILLIPS
RIGHTHND
1/2 vRHBHR
.323SLG%
4.2Brl/PA%
1.94ERA
0.39HR/9
MIA PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Phillips97th %46th %42nd %73rd %97th %
Bullpen62nd %73rd %83rd %96th %81st %
Arenado BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs PHILLIPS30.0%0.0000.0%0.0%
L3 vs MIA Bullpen2425.0%0.62512.5%0.0%
'26 vs RHP17423.6%0.4443.4%7.5%
'26 All Games23622.5%0.4303.4%8.9%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

SinkerUSE 27%
HR2
BA.333
SLG.513
HH%40%
wOBA.414
HR0
BA.277
SLG.319
HH%38%
wOBA.350
Split-FingerUSE 25%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000
HR0
BA.143
SLG.238
HH%27%
wOBA.249
SweeperUSE 24%
HR0
BA.125
SLG.125
HH%7%
wOBA.214
HR0
BA.229
SLG.343
HH%31%
wOBA.282
CurveballUSE 17%
HR0
BA.133
SLG.200
HH%39%
wOBA.203
HR0
BA.172
SLG.241
HH%56%
wOBA.281
4-Seam FastballUSE 7%
HR2
BA.273
SLG.545
HH%41%
wOBA.390
HR1
BA.455
SLG.818
HH%25%
wOBA.554
Avg0.0
HR0
G5
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/11/26
@
0-1100
06/10/26
@
L 0-8310
06/09/26
@
L 6-10410
07/30/25
vs
L 0-2410
07/29/25
vs
L 0-5410
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
40/100
3.4% HR/PA on the season (8 HR in 236 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
11/100
Barrel 4.7% • HardHit 31.1%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
19/100
0.39 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
35/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .176 (174 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
47/100
Park index 104 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
24/100
1 HR in last 15 G (53 PA)

Batter Season

PA236
HR8
HR/PA3.4%
ISO.174
OPS0.769
Barrel%4.7%
HardHit%31.1%
Avg EV85.3 mph

Pitcher Season

IP46.1
ERA1.94
WHIP1.29
HR2
HR/90.39
K/97.77
BB/94.47
Barrel% Allowed4.2%
HardHit% Allowed34.9%

Head-to-Head

PA1
AB1
H0
HR0
BB0
K1
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
174 PA · 6 HR · 0.789 OPS