BATTER
ATL
Drake Baldwin
PITCHER
MIN
Bailey Ober
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
DRAKE
BALDWIN
VS
BAILEY
OBER
52SOLID
ATL @ MIN
BALDWIN
HNDLEFT
HR13/20 vRHP
SLG%.449
Brl/PA%9.0
AVG.274
HIT/G108/101
OBER
RIGHTHND
12/17 vLHBHR
.446SLG%
8.2Brl/PA%
4.64ERA
1.55HR/9
MIN PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Ober35th %61st %8th %36th %20th %
Bullpen61st %40th %69th %51st %81st %
Baldwin BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs OBER0
L3 vs MIN Bullpen3336.4%0.6369.1%0.0%
'26 vs RHP27424.8%0.4734.7%11.7%
'26 All Games44824.1%0.4494.5%10.3%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

ChangeupUSE 34%
HR1
HR Rate1/53 1.9%
BA.267
SLG.356
HH%47%
wOBA.337
HR5
HR Rate5/149 3.4%
BA.268
SLG.449
HH%32%
wOBA.342
4-Seam FastballUSE 32%
HR4
HR Rate4/111 3.6%
BA.307
SLG.525
HH%59%
wOBA.387
HR6
HR Rate6/131 4.6%
BA.275
SLG.542
HH%41%
wOBA.374
SliderUSE 17%
HR2
HR Rate2/57 3.5%
BA.170
SLG.302
HH%39%
wOBA.252
HR1
HR Rate1/73 1.4%
BA.243
SLG.386
HH%39%
wOBA.282
SweeperUSE 12%
HR1
HR Rate1/34 2.9%
BA.323
SLG.516
HH%46%
wOBA.412
HR0
HR Rate0/44 0.0%
BA.095
SLG.119
HH%12%
wOBA.122
SinkerUSE 3%
HR3
HR Rate3/90 3.3%
BA.297
SLG.527
HH%56%
wOBA.416
HR0
HR Rate0/13 0.0%
BA.417
SLG.917
HH%50%
wOBA.569
CurveballUSE 2%
HR1
HR Rate1/41 2.4%
BA.243
SLG.459
HH%61%
wOBA.337
HR0
HR Rate0/5 0.0%
BA.250
SLG.500
HH%25%
wOBA.390

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

ATL batter · MIN pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−3.1%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
12/248 · 4.8%
Home/Home
9/239 · 3.8%
8/200 · 4.0%
Away/Away
8/176 · 4.5%
7/121 · 5.8%
Day/Day
11/198 · 5.6%
13/327 · 4.0%
Night/Night
6/217 · 2.8%
7/174 · 4.0%
vs L/vs L
12/234 · 5.1%
13/274 · 4.7%
vs R/vs R
5/181 · 2.8%
Avg0.5
HR1
G2
DateOppScoreABHHR
04/20/25
vs
W 6-2411
04/18/25
vs
W 6-4110
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
58/100
4.5% HR/PA on the season (20 HR in 448 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
63/100
Barrel 9.0% • HardHit 51.3%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
49/100
1.55 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
41/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .186 (274 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
62/100
Park index 109 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (65 PA)

Batter Season

PA448
HR20
HR/PA4.5%
ISO.175
OPS0.808
Barrel%9.0%
HardHit%51.3%
Avg EV91.6 mph

Pitcher Season

IP99.0
ERA4.64
WHIP1.23
HR17
HR/91.55
K/96.09
BB/92.27
Barrel% Allowed8.2%
HardHit% Allowed35.0%

Head-to-Head

No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs RHP this season
274 PA · 13 HR · 0.853 OPS