DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
ATL
PITCHER
MIN
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
AUSTIN
RILEY
VS
BAILEY
OBER
46AVERAGE
ATL @ MIN
RILEY
HNDRIGHT
HR13/15 vRHP
SLG%.373
Brl/PA%7.4
AVG.224
HIT/G99/123
OBER
RIGHTHND
5/17 vRHBHR
.446SLG%
8.2Brl/PA%
4.64ERA
1.55HR/9
| MIN Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Ober | 35th % | 61st % | 8th % | 36th % | 20th % |
| Bullpen | 61st % | 40th % | 69th % | 51st % | 81st % |
| Riley Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs OBER | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| L3 vs MIN Bullpen | 72 | 16.7% | 0.190 | 0.0% | 8.3% |
| '26 vs RHP | 337 | 19.9% | 0.388 | 3.9% | 6.2% |
| '26 All Games | 492 | 20.1% | 0.373 | 3.0% | 7.5% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
ChangeupUSE 34%
HR0
HR Rate0/48 0.0%
BA.227
SLG.295
HH%43%
wOBA.253
HR1
HR Rate1/149 0.7%
BA.268
SLG.449
HH%32%
wOBA.342
0
0/48 0.0%
.227
.295
43%
.253
Changeup34%
SLG vs ref · 48 PA | 149 PA
1
1/149 0.7%
.268
.449
32%
.342
4-Seam FastballUSE 32%
HR3
HR Rate3/164 1.8%
BA.214
SLG.324
HH%54%
wOBA.287
HR1
HR Rate1/131 0.8%
BA.275
SLG.542
HH%41%
wOBA.374
3
3/164 1.8%
.214
.324
54%
.287
4-Seam Fastball32%
SLG vs ref · 164 PA | 131 PA
1
1/131 0.8%
.275
.542
41%
.374
SliderUSE 17%
HR1
HR Rate1/55 1.8%
BA.255
SLG.373
HH%33%
wOBA.277
HR1
HR Rate1/73 1.4%
BA.243
SLG.386
HH%39%
wOBA.282
1
1/55 1.8%
.255
.373
33%
.277
Slider17%
SLG vs ref · 55 PA | 73 PA
1
1/73 1.4%
.243
.386
39%
.282
SweeperUSE 12%
HR1
HR Rate1/52 1.9%
BA.170
SLG.277
HH%44%
wOBA.240
HR0
HR Rate0/44 0.0%
BA.095
SLG.119
HH%12%
wOBA.122
1
1/52 1.9%
.170
.277
44%
.240
Sweeper12%
SLG vs ref · 52 PA | 44 PA
0
0/44 0.0%
.095
.119
12%
.122
SinkerUSE 3%
HR2
HR Rate2/92 2.2%
BA.275
SLG.450
HH%39%
wOBA.380
HR2
HR Rate2/13 15.4%
BA.417
SLG.917
HH%50%
wOBA.569
2
2/92 2.2%
.275
.450
39%
.380
Sinker3%
SLG vs ref · 92 PA | 13 PA
2
2/13 15.4%
.417
.917
50%
.569
CurveballUSE 2%
HR1
HR Rate1/32 3.1%
BA.200
SLG.400
HH%44%
wOBA.281
HR0
HR Rate0/5 0.0%
BA.250
SLG.500
HH%25%
wOBA.390
1
1/32 3.1%
.200
.400
44%
.281
Curveball2%
SLG vs ref · 32 PA | 5 PA
0
0/5 0.0%
.250
.500
25%
.390
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
ATL batter · MIN pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/30/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−3.1%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
9/250 · 3.6%
VenueHome/Home
9/239 · 3.8%
6/242 · 2.5%
Away/Away
8/176 · 4.5%
3/144 · 2.1%
First PitchDay/Day
11/198 · 5.6%
12/348 · 3.4%
Night/Night
6/217 · 2.8%
2/155 · 1.3%
Matchupvs L/vs L
12/234 · 5.1%
13/337 · 3.9%
vs R/vs R
5/181 · 2.8%
Avg0.0
HR0
G3
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/20/25 | vs | W 6-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 04/19/25 | vs | W 4-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 04/18/25 | vs | W 6-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
34/100
3.0% HR/PA on the season (15 HR in 492 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
48/100
Barrel 7.4% • HardHit 45.9%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
49/100
1.55 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
31/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .170 (337 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
62/100
Park index 109 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
69/100
3 HR in last 15 G (54 PA)
Batter Season
PA492
HR15
HR/PA3.0%
ISO.149
OPS0.670
Barrel%7.4%
HardHit%45.9%
Avg EV91.3 mph
Pitcher Season
IP99.0
ERA4.64
WHIP1.23
HR17
HR/91.55
K/96.09
BB/92.27
Barrel% Allowed8.2%
HardHit% Allowed35.0%
Head-to-Head
No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs RHP this season
337 PA · 13 HR · 0.670 OPS