BATTER
ATL
Mauricio Dubón
PITCHER
MIN
Bailey Ober
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
MAURICIO
DUBÓN
VS
BAILEY
OBER
27FADE
ATL @ MIN
DUBÓN
HNDRIGHT
HR6/10 vRHP
SLG%.392
Brl/PA%3.2
AVG.262
HIT/G115/117
OBER
RIGHTHND
5/17 vRHBHR
.446SLG%
8.2Brl/PA%
4.64ERA
1.55HR/9
MIN PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Ober35th %61st %8th %36th %20th %
Bullpen61st %40th %69th %51st %81st %
Dubón BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs OBER0
L3 vs MIN Bullpen3040.0%0.4000.0%0.0%
'26 vs RHP30025.7%0.4012.0%6.3%
'26 All Games47524.2%0.3922.1%5.9%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

ChangeupUSE 34%
HR0
HR Rate0/58 0.0%
BA.164
SLG.255
HH%23%
wOBA.257
HR1
HR Rate1/149 0.7%
BA.268
SLG.449
HH%32%
wOBA.342
4-Seam FastballUSE 32%
HR0
HR Rate0/140 0.0%
BA.232
SLG.312
HH%31%
wOBA.287
HR1
HR Rate1/131 0.8%
BA.275
SLG.542
HH%41%
wOBA.374
SliderUSE 17%
HR2
HR Rate2/55 3.6%
BA.294
SLG.510
HH%34%
wOBA.402
HR1
HR Rate1/73 1.4%
BA.243
SLG.386
HH%39%
wOBA.282
SweeperUSE 12%
HR1
HR Rate1/56 1.8%
BA.214
SLG.321
HH%10%
wOBA.235
HR0
HR Rate0/44 0.0%
BA.095
SLG.119
HH%12%
wOBA.122
SinkerUSE 3%
HR0
HR Rate0/89 0.0%
BA.329
SLG.415
HH%42%
wOBA.344
HR2
HR Rate2/13 15.4%
BA.417
SLG.917
HH%50%
wOBA.569
CurveballUSE 2%
HR2
HR Rate2/23 8.7%
BA.286
SLG.619
HH%38%
wOBA.407
HR0
HR Rate0/5 0.0%
BA.250
SLG.500
HH%25%
wOBA.390

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

ATL batter · MIN pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/30/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−4.1%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
6/240 · 2.5%
Home/Home
9/239 · 3.8%
4/235 · 1.7%
Away/Away
8/176 · 4.5%
0/136 · 0.0%
Day/Day
11/198 · 5.6%
10/339 · 2.9%
Night/Night
6/217 · 2.8%
4/175 · 2.3%
vs L/vs L
12/234 · 5.1%
6/300 · 2.0%
vs R/vs R
5/181 · 2.8%
Avg0.0
HR0
G5
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/15/25
vs
W 2-1410
06/14/25
vs
W 3-2200
06/13/25
vs
W 10-3200
04/06/25
@
W 9-7000
04/03/25
@
W 5-2410
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
18/100
2.1% HR/PA on the season (10 HR in 475 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
5/100
Barrel 3.2% • HardHit 30.1%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
49/100
1.55 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
2/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .123 (300 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
62/100
Park index 109 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (56 PA)

Batter Season

PA475
HR10
HR/PA2.1%
ISO.130
OPS0.700
Barrel%3.2%
HardHit%30.1%
Avg EV86.9 mph

Pitcher Season

IP99.0
ERA4.64
WHIP1.23
HR17
HR/91.55
K/96.09
BB/92.27
Barrel% Allowed8.2%
HardHit% Allowed35.0%

Head-to-Head

No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs RHP this season
300 PA · 6 HR · 0.728 OPS