BATTER
NYM
Francisco Alvarez
PITCHER
STL
Hunter Dobbins
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
FRANCISCO
ALVAREZ
VS
HUNTER
DOBBINS
48AVERAGE
STL @ NYM
0 HR/2 PA
ALVAREZ
HNDRIGHT
HR4/5 vRHP
SLG%.417
Brl/PA%11.1
AVG.250
HIT/G30/40
DOBBINS
RIGHTHND
1/3 vRHBHR
.326SLG%
9.4Brl/PA%
3.94ERA
1.69HR/9
STL PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Dobbins56th %24th %75th %26th %15th %
Bullpen50th %45th %45th %56th %69th %
Alvarez BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs DOBBINS6100.0%1.0000.0%0.0%
L3 vs STL Bullpen3616.7%0.2000.0%8.3%
'26 vs RHP10421.2%0.4273.8%9.6%
'26 All Games13622.1%0.4173.7%8.1%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 33%
HR1
BA.259
SLG.407
HH%67%
wOBA.340
HR0
BA.333
SLG.417
HH%50%
wOBA.438
SliderUSE 17%
HR2
BA.233
SLG.500
HH%32%
wOBA.307
HR1
BA.500
SLG.1250
HH%33%
wOBA.725
SweeperUSE 14%
HR0
BA.125
SLG.250
HH%29%
wOBA.241
HR0
BA.200
SLG.200
HH%0%
wOBA.267
SinkerUSE 14%
HR0
BA.214
SLG.214
HH%46%
wOBA.309
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%70%
wOBA.000
Split-FingerUSE 11%
HR1
BA.333
SLG.1333
HH%100%
wOBA.675
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%60%
wOBA.088
CurveballUSE 11%
HR0
BA.143
SLG.143
HH%0%
wOBA.129
HR0
BA.600
SLG.800
HH%33%
wOBA.610
Avg0.1
HR1
G8
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/11/26
vs
3-4110
06/10/26
vs
L 2-9411
06/09/26
vs
L 0-7310
04/01/26
@
L 1-2300
03/31/26
@
L 0-3100
03/30/26
@
W 4-2310
05/04/25
@
L 4-5210
05/02/25
@
W 9-3530
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
45/100
3.7% HR/PA on the season (5 HR in 136 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
52/100
Barrel 11.1% • HardHit 41.6%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
53/100
1.69 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
37/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .180 (104 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
59/100
Park index 108 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
25/100
1 HR in last 15 G (51 PA)

Batter Season

PA136
HR5
HR/PA3.7%
ISO.167
OPS0.738
Barrel%11.1%
HardHit%41.6%
Avg EV90.4 mph

Pitcher Season

IP16.0
ERA3.94
WHIP1.44
HR3
HR/91.69
K/99.56
BB/93.94
Barrel% Allowed9.4%
HardHit% Allowed50.0%

Head-to-Head

PA2
AB2
H2
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.1000
OPS2.000
Batter vs RHP this season
104 PA · 4 HR · 0.760 OPS