BATTER
NYM
Francisco Alvarez
PITCHER
SD
Walker Buehler
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
FRANCISCO
ALVAREZ
VS
WALKER
BUEHLER
48AVERAGE
SD @ NYM
0 HR/1 PA
ALVAREZ
HNDRIGHT
HR11/13 vRHP
SLG%.428
Brl/PA%9.7
AVG.248
HIT/G69/86
BUEHLER
RIGHTHND
9/14 vRHBHR
.414SLG%
5.8Brl/PA%
4.88ERA
1.10HR/9
SD PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Buehler29th %24th %40th %29th %57th %
Bullpen91st %81st %85th %91st %96th %
Alvarez BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs BUEHLER30.0%0.0000.0%0.0%
L3 vs SD Bullpen2425.0%0.71412.5%0.0%
'26 vs RHP23322.7%0.4684.7%9.4%
'26 All Games31921.6%0.4284.1%10.7%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

CutterUSE 25%
HR0
HR Rate0/17 0.0%
BA.071
SLG.071
HH%50%
wOBA.176
HR0
HR Rate0/120 0.0%
BA.221
SLG.298
HH%30%
wOBA.286
4-Seam FastballUSE 20%
HR2
HR Rate2/73 2.7%
BA.262
SLG.431
HH%60%
wOBA.341
HR2
HR Rate2/78 2.6%
BA.373
SLG.567
HH%52%
wOBA.447
SinkerUSE 19%
HR3
HR Rate3/82 3.7%
BA.299
SLG.478
HH%53%
wOBA.412
HR0
HR Rate0/94 0.0%
BA.235
SLG.309
HH%35%
wOBA.301
SliderUSE 11%
HR3
HR Rate3/54 5.6%
BA.255
SLG.490
HH%36%
wOBA.353
HR1
HR Rate1/55 1.8%
BA.132
SLG.189
HH%43%
wOBA.160
ChangeupUSE 10%
HR0
HR Rate0/29 0.0%
BA.208
SLG.375
HH%22%
wOBA.326
HR1
HR Rate1/47 2.1%
BA.370
SLG.674
HH%56%
wOBA.468
CurveballUSE 9%
HR0
HR Rate0/17 0.0%
BA.313
SLG.313
HH%33%
wOBA.306
HR0
HR Rate0/55 0.0%
BA.300
SLG.520
HH%42%
wOBA.381
SweeperUSE 7%
HR1
HR Rate1/36 2.8%
BA.188
SLG.344
HH%35%
wOBA.258
HR3
HR Rate3/46 6.5%
BA.233
SLG.535
HH%28%
wOBA.345

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

NYM batter · SD pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 3/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+5.0%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
7/154 · 4.5%
Home/Home
7/266 · 2.6%
6/165 · 3.6%
Away/Away
7/231 · 3.0%
4/121 · 3.3%
Day/Day
7/162 · 4.3%
9/198 · 4.5%
Night/Night
7/335 · 2.1%
2/86 · 2.3%
vs L/vs L
5/276 · 1.8%
11/233 · 4.7%
vs R/vs R
9/221 · 4.1%
Avg0.3
HR1
G4
DateOppScoreABHHR
09/17/25
vs
L 4-7411
09/16/25
vs
W 8-3300
07/30/25
@
L 0-5200
07/28/25
@
L 6-7200
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
51/100
4.1% HR/PA on the season (13 HR in 319 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
53/100
Barrel 9.7% • HardHit 44.7%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
35/100
1.10 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
56/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .209 (233 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
59/100
Park index 108 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
21/100
1 HR in last 15 G (59 PA)

Batter Season

PA319
HR13
HR/PA4.1%
ISO.180
OPS0.766
Barrel%9.7%
HardHit%44.7%
Avg EV90.2 mph

Pitcher Season

IP114.1
ERA4.88
WHIP1.43
HR14
HR/91.10
K/97.87
BB/93.70
Barrel% Allowed5.8%
HardHit% Allowed39.7%

Head-to-Head

PA1
AB1
H0
HR0
BB0
K1
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
233 PA · 11 HR · 0.806 OPS