BATTER
CIN
JJ Bleday
PITCHER
NYY
Will Warren
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
JJ
BLEDAY
VS
WILL
WARREN
54SOLID
CIN @ NYY
0 HR/8 PA
BLEDAY
HNDLEFT
HR10/13 vRHP
SLG%.557
Brl/PA%7.5
AVG.259
HIT/G45/47
WARREN
RIGHTHND
5/8 vLHBHR
.369SLG%
4.2Brl/PA%
3.45ERA
0.92HR/9
NYY PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Warren70th %43rd %79th %31st %66th %
Bullpen70th %55th %54th %56th %84th %
Bleday BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs WARREN2412.5%0.1250.0%0.0%
L3 vs NYY Bullpen4719.1%0.4746.4%19.1%
'26 vs RHP14922.8%0.6086.7%14.8%
'26 All Games20522.0%0.5576.3%13.7%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 41%
HR4
BA.216
SLG.595
HH%42%
wOBA.389
HR4
BA.204
SLG.372
HH%42%
wOBA.296
SinkerUSE 27%
HR0
BA.381
SLG.429
HH%61%
wOBA.460
HR0
BA.279
SLG.372
HH%43%
wOBA.356
SweeperUSE 21%
HR1
BA.222
SLG.778
HH%40%
wOBA.455
HR1
BA.362
SLG.489
HH%33%
wOBA.401
ChangeupUSE 9%
HR2
BA.231
SLG.436
HH%38%
wOBA.330
HR0
BA.154
SLG.154
HH%33%
wOBA.173
CurveballUSE 3%
HR1
BA.364
SLG.1000
HH%90%
wOBA.581
HR0
BA.200
SLG.300
HH%0%
wOBA.259

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

CIN batter · NYY pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/33/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+6.5%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
8/95 · 8.4%
Home/Home
7/181 · 3.9%
5/110 · 4.5%
Away/Away
1/159 · 0.6%
7/83 · 8.4%
Day/Day
5/165 · 3.0%
6/122 · 4.9%
Night/Night
3/175 · 1.7%
3/56 · 5.4%
vs L/vs L
5/178 · 2.8%
10/149 · 6.7%
vs R/vs R
3/162 · 1.9%
Avg0.2
HR1
G6
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
@
W 10-2510
06/19/26
@
L 0-5300
06/29/25
@
L 5-12200
06/27/25
@
L 0-3400
05/11/25
vs
L 2-12411
05/09/25
vs
L 2-10300
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
89/100
6.3% HR/PA on the season (13 HR in 205 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
49/100
Barrel 7.5% • HardHit 46.6%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
29/100
0.92 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
100/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .336 (149 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
0/100
0 HR, .125 AVG in 8 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
35/100
Park index 100 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
55/100
3 HR in last 15 G (68 PA)

Batter Season

PA205
HR13
HR/PA6.3%
ISO.298
OPS0.918
Barrel%7.5%
HardHit%46.6%
Avg EV89.9 mph

Pitcher Season

IP78.1
ERA3.45
WHIP1.33
HR8
HR/90.92
K/99.65
BB/92.99
Barrel% Allowed4.2%
HardHit% Allowed38.8%

Head-to-Head

PA8
AB8
H1
HR0
BB0
K4
AVG.125
OPS0.250
Batter vs RHP this season
149 PA · 10 HR · 0.991 OPS