BATTER
CIN
Nathaniel Lowe
PITCHER
NYY
Will Warren
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
NATHANIEL
LOWE
VS
WILL
WARREN
44AVERAGE
CIN @ NYY
0 HR/5 PA
LOWE
HNDLEFT
HR9/9 vRHP
SLG%.494
Brl/PA%7.7
AVG.262
HIT/G43/58
WARREN
RIGHTHND
5/8 vLHBHR
.369SLG%
4.2Brl/PA%
3.45ERA
0.92HR/9
NYY PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Warren70th %43rd %79th %31st %66th %
Bullpen70th %55th %54th %56th %84th %
Lowe BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs WARREN1520.0%0.3330.0%40.0%
L3 vs NYY Bullpen9921.2%0.2690.0%15.2%
'26 vs RHP17025.3%0.5475.3%12.9%
'26 All Games18723.0%0.4944.8%12.3%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 41%
HR0
BA.231
SLG.277
HH%34%
wOBA.272
HR4
BA.204
SLG.372
HH%42%
wOBA.296
SinkerUSE 27%
HR1
BA.182
SLG.318
HH%50%
wOBA.356
HR0
BA.279
SLG.372
HH%43%
wOBA.356
SweeperUSE 21%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%100%
wOBA.175
HR1
BA.362
SLG.489
HH%33%
wOBA.401
ChangeupUSE 9%
HR2
BA.240
SLG.560
HH%32%
wOBA.359
HR0
BA.154
SLG.154
HH%33%
wOBA.173
CurveballUSE 3%
HR0
BA.333
SLG.917
HH%44%
wOBA.589
HR0
BA.200
SLG.300
HH%0%
wOBA.259

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

CIN batter · NYY pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/33/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+0.4%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
8/88 · 9.1%
Home/Home
7/181 · 3.9%
1/99 · 1.0%
Away/Away
1/159 · 0.6%
3/85 · 3.5%
Day/Day
5/165 · 3.0%
6/102 · 5.9%
Night/Night
3/175 · 1.7%
0/17 · 0.0%
vs L/vs L
5/178 · 2.8%
9/170 · 5.3%
vs R/vs R
3/162 · 1.9%
Avg0.0
HR0
G9
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
@
W 10-2320
06/19/26
@
L 0-5410
09/14/25
vs
W 6-4320
09/13/25
vs
L 3-5100
09/12/25
vs
L 1-4400
08/24/25
@
L 2-7220
08/23/25
@
W 12-1420
08/22/25
@
W 1-0210
08/21/25
@
W 6-3410
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
64/100
4.8% HR/PA on the season (9 HR in 187 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
40/100
Barrel 7.7% • HardHit 41.0%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
29/100
0.92 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
85/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .256 (170 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .333 AVG in 5 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
35/100
Park index 100 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (43 PA)

Batter Season

PA187
HR9
HR/PA4.8%
ISO.232
OPS0.847
Barrel%7.7%
HardHit%41.0%
Avg EV88.9 mph

Pitcher Season

IP78.1
ERA3.45
WHIP1.33
HR8
HR/90.92
K/99.65
BB/92.99
Barrel% Allowed4.2%
HardHit% Allowed38.8%

Head-to-Head

PA5
AB3
H1
HR0
BB2
K0
AVG.333
OPS0.933
Batter vs RHP this season
170 PA · 9 HR · 0.929 OPS