DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
CIN
PITCHER
NYY
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
TYLER
STEPHENSON
VS
WILL
WARREN
31FADE
CIN @ NYY
STEPHENSON
HNDRIGHT
HR5/5 vRHP
SLG%.331
Brl/PA%6.3
AVG.210
HIT/G38/59
WARREN
RIGHTHND
3/8 vRHBHR
.369SLG%
4.2Brl/PA%
3.45ERA
0.92HR/9
| NYY Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Warren | 70th % | 43rd % | 79th % | 31st % | 66th % |
| Bullpen | 70th % | 55th % | 54th % | 56th % | 84th % |
| Stephenson Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs WARREN | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| L3 vs NYY Bullpen | 36 | 16.7% | 0.455 | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| '26 vs RHP | 163 | 19.6% | 0.356 | 3.1% | 9.2% |
| '26 All Games | 207 | 18.4% | 0.331 | 2.4% | 11.6% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
4-Seam FastballUSE 41%
HR0
BA.241
SLG.296
HH%47%
wOBA.289
HR0
BA.204
SLG.372
HH%42%
wOBA.296
0
.241
.296
47%
.289
4-Seam Fastball41%
SLG vs ref · 62 PA | 127 PA
0
.204
.372
42%
.296
SinkerUSE 27%
HR4
BA.387
SLG.839
HH%62%
wOBA.558
HR2
BA.279
SLG.372
HH%43%
wOBA.356
4
.387
.839
62%
.558
Sinker27%
SLG vs ref · 37 PA | 97 PA
2
.279
.372
43%
.356
SweeperUSE 21%
HR0
BA.167
SLG.222
HH%33%
wOBA.285
HR0
BA.362
SLG.489
HH%33%
wOBA.401
0
.167
.222
33%
.285
Sweeper21%
SLG vs ref · 23 PA | 51 PA
0
.362
.489
33%
.401
ChangeupUSE 9%
HR0
BA.067
SLG.067
HH%30%
wOBA.158
HR0
BA.154
SLG.154
HH%33%
wOBA.173
0
.067
.067
30%
.158
Changeup9%
SLG vs ref · 19 PA | 26 PA
0
.154
.154
33%
.173
CurveballUSE 3%
HR0
BA.200
SLG.200
HH%40%
wOBA.200
HR0
BA.200
SLG.300
HH%0%
wOBA.259
0
.200*
.200
40%
.200
Curveball3%
SLG vs ref · 10 PA | 11 PA
0
.200
.300
0%
.259
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
CIN batter · NYY pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 3/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+12.3%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
1/96 · 1.0%
VenueHome/Home
7/181 · 3.9%
4/111 · 3.6%
Away/Away
1/159 · 0.6%
3/67 · 4.5%
First PitchDay/Day
5/165 · 3.0%
2/140 · 1.4%
Night/Night
3/175 · 1.7%
0/44 · 0.0%
Matchupvs L/vs L
5/178 · 2.8%
5/163 · 3.1%
vs R/vs R
3/162 · 1.9%
Avg0.0
HR0
G4
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/19/26 | @ | L 0-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/25/25 | vs | L 1-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/24/25 | vs | W 5-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/23/25 | vs | W 6-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
24/100
2.4% HR/PA on the season (5 HR in 207 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
41/100
Barrel 6.3% • HardHit 44.4%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
29/100
0.92 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
11/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .137 (163 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
35/100
Park index 100 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
25/100
1 HR in last 15 G (50 PA)
Batter Season
PA207
HR5
HR/PA2.4%
ISO.121
OPS0.631
Barrel%6.3%
HardHit%44.4%
Avg EV90.7 mph
Pitcher Season
IP78.1
ERA3.45
WHIP1.33
HR8
HR/90.92
K/99.65
BB/92.99
Barrel% Allowed4.2%
HardHit% Allowed38.8%
Head-to-Head
No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs RHP this season
163 PA · 5 HR · 0.644 OPS