DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
NYM
PITCHER
PHI
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
FRANCISCO
ALVAREZ
VS
AARON
NOLA
62SOLID
NYM @ PHI
3 HR/9 PA
ALVAREZ
HNDRIGHT
HR10/12 vRHP
SLG%.450
Brl/PA%10.2
AVG.262
HIT/G60/71
NOLA
RIGHTHND
10/25 vRHBHR
.521SLG%
7.2Brl/PA%
5.82ERA
2.08HR/9
| PHI Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Nola | 13th % | 21st % | 67th % | 12th % | 6th % |
| Bullpen | 56th % | 59th % | 91st % | 59th % | 71st % |
| Alvarez Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs NOLA | 27 | 44.4% | 1.625 | 33.3% | 11.1% |
| L3 vs PHI Bullpen | 63 | 9.5% | 0.100 | 0.0% | 4.8% |
| '26 vs RHP | 192 | 24.0% | 0.480 | 5.2% | 8.3% |
| '26 All Games | 260 | 23.1% | 0.450 | 4.6% | 9.6% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
CurveballUSE 34%
HR0
BA.364
SLG.364
HH%30%
wOBA.327
HR0
BA.193
SLG.348
HH%27%
wOBA.258
0
.364*
.364
30%
.327
Curveball34%
SLG vs ref · 11 PA | 170 PA
0
.193
.348
27%
.258
4-Seam FastballUSE 24%
HR2
BA.286
SLG.464
HH%58%
wOBA.359
HR1
BA.356
SLG.747
HH%47%
wOBA.482
2
.286
.464
58%
.359
4-Seam Fastball24%
SLG vs ref · 62 PA | 96 PA
1
.356
.747
47%
.482
SinkerUSE 20%
HR3
BA.298
SLG.491
HH%53%
wOBA.414
HR5
BA.368
SLG.701
HH%44%
wOBA.475
3
.298
.491
53%
.414
Sinker20%
SLG vs ref · 69 PA | 99 PA
5
.368
.701
44%
.475
ChangeupUSE 14%
HR0
BA.263
SLG.474
HH%21%
wOBA.350
HR0
BA.200
SLG.291
HH%43%
wOBA.267
0
.263
.474
21%
.350
Changeup14%
SLG vs ref · 21 PA | 63 PA
0
.200
.291
43%
.267
CutterUSE 7%
HR0
BA.111
SLG.111
HH%40%
wOBA.160
HR0
BA.400
SLG.629
HH%52%
wOBA.455
0
.111*
.111
40%
.160
Cutter7%
SLG vs ref · 10 PA | 37 PA
0
.400
.629
52%
.455
SliderUSE 1%
HR3
BA.227
SLG.477
HH%37%
wOBA.324
HR1
BA.286
SLG.714
HH%57%
wOBA.450
3
.227
.477
37%
.324
Slider1%
SLG vs ref · 45 PA | 8 PA
1
.286
.714
57%
.450
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
NYM batter · PHI pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/33/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+7.3%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
7/123 · 5.7%
VenueHome/Home
13/229 · 5.7%
5/132 · 3.8%
Away/Away
12/246 · 4.9%
3/98 · 3.1%
First PitchDay/Day
5/169 · 3.0%
9/157 · 5.7%
Night/Night
20/306 · 6.5%
2/63 · 3.2%
Matchupvs L/vs L
15/287 · 5.2%
10/192 · 5.2%
vs R/vs R
10/188 · 5.3%
Avg0.2
HR3
G13
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/18/26 | @ | L 1-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 07/16/26 | @ | W 4-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 06/28/26 | vs | L 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 06/27/26 | vs | W 6-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/26/26 | vs | L 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/21/26 | @ | L 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/20/26 | @ | L 3-15 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 06/18/26 | @ | W 6-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 09/11/25 | @ | L 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 09/10/25 | @ | L 3-11 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 09/09/25 | @ | L 3-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 09/08/25 | @ | L 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/21/25 | @ | W 11-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
60/100
4.6% HR/PA on the season (12 HR in 260 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
54/100
Barrel 10.2% • HardHit 44.4%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
66/100
2.08 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
57/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .211 (192 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
100/100
3 HR, .500 AVG in 9 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
41/100
Park index 102 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
63/100
3 HR in last 15 G (60 PA)
Batter Season
PA260
HR12
HR/PA4.6%
ISO.188
OPS0.791
Barrel%10.2%
HardHit%44.4%
Avg EV90.3 mph
Pitcher Season
IP108.1
ERA5.82
WHIP1.45
HR25
HR/92.08
K/99.30
BB/92.99
Barrel% Allowed7.2%
HardHit% Allowed40.5%
Head-to-Head
PA9
AB8
H4
HR3
BB1
K1
AVG.500
OPS2.181
Batter vs RHP this season
192 PA · 10 HR · 0.817 OPS