DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
Back to MIA @ PHI
BATTER
PHI
Bryson Stott
PITCHER
MIA
Janson Junk
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
BRYSON
STOTT
VS
JANSON
JUNK
29FADE
MIA @ PHI
0 HR/2 PA
STOTT
HNDLEFT
HR7/9 vRHP
SLG%.419
Brl/PA%4.5
AVG.265
HIT/G110/119
JUNK
RIGHTHND
6/12 vLHBHR
.430SLG%
5.4Brl/PA%
4.41ERA
1.24HR/9
MIA PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Junk43rd %43rd %13th %19th %46th %
Bullpen47th %49th %68th %70th %70th %
Stott BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs JUNK1225.0%0.2500.0%0.0%
L3 vs MIA Bullpen8125.9%0.4003.7%3.7%
'26 vs RHP36622.4%0.4051.9%9.6%
'26 All Games46823.5%0.4191.9%9.8%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 36%
HR2
HR Rate2/153 1.3%
BA.280
SLG.424
HH%49%
wOBA.369
HR1
HR Rate1/134 0.7%
BA.259
SLG.371
HH%42%
wOBA.344
SliderUSE 21%
HR1
HR Rate1/55 1.8%
BA.360
SLG.620
HH%42%
wOBA.439
HR3
HR Rate3/83 3.6%
BA.231
SLG.449
HH%38%
wOBA.344
ChangeupUSE 18%
HR1
HR Rate1/54 1.9%
BA.245
SLG.347
HH%30%
wOBA.298
HR0
HR Rate0/52 0.0%
BA.306
SLG.367
HH%52%
wOBA.311
SweeperUSE 14%
HR1
HR Rate1/34 2.9%
BA.194
SLG.387
HH%13%
wOBA.284
HR1
HR Rate1/60 1.7%
BA.259
SLG.552
HH%33%
wOBA.340
CurveballUSE 7%
HR0
HR Rate0/43 0.0%
BA.146
SLG.146
HH%38%
wOBA.163
HR1
HR Rate1/22 4.5%
BA.318
SLG.545
HH%42%
wOBA.368
SinkerUSE 4%
HR0
HR Rate0/71 0.0%
BA.292
SLG.431
HH%35%
wOBA.349
HR0
HR Rate0/21 0.0%
BA.350
SLG.400
HH%37%
wOBA.350

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

PHI batter · MIA pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−0.4%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
3/225 · 1.3%
Home/Home
6/224 · 2.7%
6/243 · 2.5%
Away/Away
6/149 · 4.0%
3/158 · 1.9%
Day/Day
2/86 · 2.3%
6/310 · 1.9%
Night/Night
10/287 · 3.5%
2/102 · 2.0%
vs L/vs L
6/235 · 2.6%
7/366 · 1.9%
vs R/vs R
6/138 · 4.3%
Avg0.2
HR5
G23
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/29/26
@
L 6-8210
07/28/26
@
L 0-1400
07/27/26
@
L 7-8320
06/17/26
vs
L 4-12420
06/16/26
vs
W 8-2410
06/15/26
vs
W 7-0200
05/04/26
@
W 1-0400
05/03/26
@
W 7-2411
05/02/26
@
L 0-4300
05/01/26
@
W 6-5311
09/25/25
vs
W 1-0320
09/24/25
vs
W 11-1411
09/23/25
vs
L 5-6500
09/07/25
@
L 4-5300
09/06/25
@
W 4-2310
09/05/25
@
W 9-3421
06/19/25
@
W 2-1320
06/18/25
@
W 4-2321
06/17/25
@
L 3-8400
06/16/25
@
W 5-2410
04/20/25
vs
L 5-7510
04/19/25
vs
W 11-10530
04/18/25
vs
W 7-2410
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
15/100
1.9% HR/PA on the season (9 HR in 468 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
25/100
Barrel 4.5% • HardHit 39.0%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
39/100
1.24 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
21/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .153 (366 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
41/100
Park index 102 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
19/100
1 HR in last 15 G (66 PA)

Batter Season

PA468
HR9
HR/PA1.9%
ISO.154
OPS0.759
Barrel%4.5%
HardHit%39.0%
Avg EV89.3 mph

Pitcher Season

IP87.2
ERA4.41
WHIP1.32
HR12
HR/91.24
K/96.57
BB/92.46
Barrel% Allowed5.4%
HardHit% Allowed40.6%

Head-to-Head

PA2
AB2
H1
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.500
OPS1.000
Batter vs RHP this season
366 PA · 7 HR · 0.729 OPS