BATTER
LAD
Alex Freeland
PITCHER
PIT
Mitch Keller
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
ALEX
FREELAND
VS
MITCH
KELLER
21FADE
LAD @ PIT
FREELAND
HNDSWITCH
HR3/3 vRHP
SLG%.352
Brl/PA%4.7
AVG.242
HIT/G31/45
KELLER
RIGHTHND
4/5 vSHBHR
.362SLG%
4.9Brl/PA%
4.81ERA
0.62HR/9
PIT PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Keller28th %56th %21st %47th %87th %
Bullpen56th %50th %85th %78th %61st %
Freeland BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs KELLER0
L3 vs PIT Bullpen1225.0%0.5000.0%50.0%
'26 vs RHP13321.8%0.3752.3%12.0%
'26 All Games15020.7%0.3522.0%11.3%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs SHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 33%
HR2
BA.324
SLG.514
HH%53%
wOBA.413
HR1
BA.229
SLG.325
HH%49%
wOBA.284
SweeperUSE 17%
HR0
BA.111
SLG.222
HH%67%
wOBA.195
HR2
BA.183
SLG.317
HH%33%
wOBA.247
SinkerUSE 16%
HR0
BA.235
SLG.294
HH%17%
wOBA.282
HR0
BA.350
SLG.375
HH%46%
wOBA.393
ChangeupUSE 11%
HR0
BA.158
SLG.158
HH%33%
wOBA.239
HR1
BA.286
SLG.536
HH%43%
wOBA.346
SliderUSE 9%
HR0
BA.154
SLG.308
HH%43%
wOBA.312
HR0
BA.219
SLG.281
HH%27%
wOBA.240
CurveballUSE 7%
HR0
BA.250
SLG.250
HH%50%
wOBA.262
HR0
BA.235
SLG.471
HH%50%
wOBA.339
CutterUSE 6%
HR0
BA.273
SLG.273
HH%10%
wOBA.245
HR0
BA.250
SLG.438
HH%7%
wOBA.368
Avg0.0
HR0
G4
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/10/26
@
L 8-9200
06/09/26
@
W 12-3320
09/03/25
@
L 0-3300
09/02/25
@
L 7-9400
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
17/100
2.0% HR/PA on the season (3 HR in 150 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
25/100
Barrel 4.7% • HardHit 38.7%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
20/100
0.62 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .116 (133 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
25/100
1 HR in last 15 G (50 PA)

Batter Season

PA150
HR3
HR/PA2.0%
ISO.110
OPS0.685
Barrel%4.7%
HardHit%38.7%
Avg EV89.1 mph

Pitcher Season

IP73.0
ERA4.81
WHIP1.23
HR5
HR/90.62
K/96.78
BB/92.84
Barrel% Allowed4.9%
HardHit% Allowed39.0%

Head-to-Head

No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs RHP this season
133 PA · 3 HR · 0.729 OPS