BATTER
LAD
Ryan Ward
PITCHER
PIT
Mitch Keller
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
RYAN
WARD
VS
MITCH
KELLER
58SOLID
LAD @ PIT
WARD
HNDLEFT
HR3/3 vRHP
SLG%.633
Brl/PA%9.7
AVG.267
HIT/G8/9
KELLER
RIGHTHND
4/5 vLHBHR
.362SLG%
4.9Brl/PA%
4.81ERA
0.62HR/9
PIT PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Keller28th %56th %21st %47th %87th %
Bullpen56th %50th %85th %78th %61st %
Ward BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs KELLER0
L3 vs PIT Bullpen650.0%0.5000.0%0.0%
'26 vs RHP2927.6%0.67910.3%3.4%
'26 All Games3125.8%0.6339.7%3.2%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 33%
HR0
BA.125
SLG.125
HH%38%
wOBA.147
HR1
BA.229
SLG.325
HH%49%
wOBA.284
SweeperUSE 17%
HR1
BA.500
SLG.2000
HH%50%
wOBA.1000
HR2
BA.183
SLG.317
HH%33%
wOBA.247
SinkerUSE 16%
HR0
BA.1000
SLG.2000
HH%100%
wOBA.1250
HR0
BA.350
SLG.375
HH%46%
wOBA.393
ChangeupUSE 11%
HR0
BA.333
SLG.333
HH%0%
wOBA.300
HR1
BA.286
SLG.536
HH%43%
wOBA.346
SliderUSE 9%
HR1
BA.400
SLG.1200
HH%40%
wOBA.650
HR0
BA.219
SLG.281
HH%27%
wOBA.240
CurveballUSE 7%
HR0
BA.500
SLG.2000
HH%100%
wOBA.1000
HR0
BA.235
SLG.471
HH%50%
wOBA.339
CutterUSE 6%
HR
BA
SLG
HH%
wOBA
HR0
BA.250
SLG.438
HH%7%
wOBA.368
Avg0.5
HR1
G2
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/10/26
@
L 8-9311
06/09/26
@
W 12-3510
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
100/100
9.7% HR/PA on the season (3 HR in 31 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
41/100
Barrel 9.7% • HardHit 38.1%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
20/100
0.62 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
100/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .393 (29 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
100/100
3 HR in last 15 G (31 PA)

Batter Season

PA31
HR3
HR/PA9.7%
ISO.366
OPS0.923
Barrel%9.7%
HardHit%38.1%
Avg EV89.9 mph

Pitcher Season

IP73.0
ERA4.81
WHIP1.23
HR5
HR/90.62
K/96.78
BB/92.84
Barrel% Allowed4.9%
HardHit% Allowed39.0%

Head-to-Head

No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs RHP this season
29 PA · 3 HR · 0.989 OPS