BATTER
LAD
Santiago Espinal
PITCHER
PIT
Mitch Keller
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
SANTIAGO
ESPINAL
VS
MITCH
KELLER
14FADE
LAD @ PIT
0 HR/9 PA
ESPINAL
HNDRIGHT
HR0/1 vRHP
SLG%.360
Brl/PA%1.9
AVG.240
HIT/G12/33
KELLER
RIGHTHND
1/5 vRHBHR
.362SLG%
4.9Brl/PA%
4.81ERA
0.62HR/9
PIT PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Keller28th %56th %21st %47th %87th %
Bullpen56th %50th %85th %78th %61st %
Espinal BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs KELLER2722.2%0.2220.0%0.0%
L3 vs PIT Bullpen5721.1%0.2500.0%10.5%
'26 vs RHP2138.1%0.5500.0%0.0%
'26 All Games5422.2%0.3601.9%1.9%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 33%
HR0
BA.231
SLG.462
HH%33%
wOBA.271
HR0
BA.229
SLG.325
HH%49%
wOBA.284
SweeperUSE 17%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000
HR0
BA.183
SLG.317
HH%33%
wOBA.247
SinkerUSE 16%
HR0
BA.286
SLG.429
HH%71%
wOBA.307
HR0
BA.350
SLG.375
HH%46%
wOBA.393
ChangeupUSE 11%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000
HR0
BA.286
SLG.536
HH%43%
wOBA.346
SliderUSE 9%
HR0
BA.500
SLG.643
HH%15%
wOBA.500
HR0
BA.219
SLG.281
HH%27%
wOBA.240
CurveballUSE 7%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000
HR1
BA.235
SLG.471
HH%50%
wOBA.339
CutterUSE 6%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%50%
wOBA.175
HR0
BA.250
SLG.438
HH%7%
wOBA.368
Avg0.0
HR0
G9
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/09/26
@
W 12-3220
09/24/25
vs
L 3-4000
08/08/25
@
L 2-3100
05/21/25
@
L 1-3410
05/20/25
@
L 0-1410
05/19/25
@
W 7-1400
04/13/25
vs
W 4-0420
04/12/25
vs
W 5-2310
04/11/25
vs
W 5-3310
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
14/100
1.9% HR/PA on the season (1 HR in 54 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
4/100
Barrel 1.9% • HardHit 30.4%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
20/100
0.62 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
19/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .150 (21 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
0/100
0 HR, .222 AVG in 9 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
50/100
1 HR in last 15 G (25 PA)

Batter Season

PA54
HR1
HR/PA1.9%
ISO.120
OPS0.610
Barrel%1.9%
HardHit%30.4%
Avg EV86.0 mph

Pitcher Season

IP73.0
ERA4.81
WHIP1.23
HR5
HR/90.62
K/96.78
BB/92.84
Barrel% Allowed4.9%
HardHit% Allowed39.0%

Head-to-Head

PA9
AB9
H2
HR0
BB0
K1
AVG.222
OPS0.444
Batter vs RHP this season
21 PA · 0 HR · 0.950 OPS