BATTER
LAD
Will Smith
PITCHER
PIT
Mitch Keller
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
WILL
SMITH
VS
MITCH
KELLER
28FADE
LAD @ PIT
0 HR/11 PA
SMITH
HNDRIGHT
HR6/6 vRHP
SLG%.382
Brl/PA%9.5
AVG.249
HIT/G43/52
KELLER
RIGHTHND
1/5 vRHBHR
.362SLG%
4.9Brl/PA%
4.81ERA
0.62HR/9
PIT PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Keller28th %56th %21st %47th %87th %
Bullpen56th %50th %85th %78th %61st %
Smith BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs KELLER3318.2%0.1820.0%0.0%
L3 vs PIT Bullpen1816.7%0.2000.0%16.7%
'26 vs RHP15024.0%0.4574.0%10.7%
'26 All Games20121.4%0.3823.0%11.4%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 33%
HR3
BA.235
SLG.431
HH%63%
wOBA.368
HR0
BA.229
SLG.325
HH%49%
wOBA.284
SweeperUSE 17%
HR0
BA.389
SLG.500
HH%21%
wOBA.389
HR0
BA.183
SLG.317
HH%33%
wOBA.247
SinkerUSE 16%
HR2
BA.316
SLG.526
HH%51%
wOBA.374
HR0
BA.350
SLG.375
HH%46%
wOBA.393
ChangeupUSE 11%
HR1
BA.286
SLG.500
HH%50%
wOBA.381
HR0
BA.286
SLG.536
HH%43%
wOBA.346
SliderUSE 9%
HR0
BA.200
SLG.200
HH%7%
wOBA.213
HR0
BA.219
SLG.281
HH%27%
wOBA.240
CurveballUSE 7%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.230
HR1
BA.235
SLG.471
HH%50%
wOBA.339
CutterUSE 6%
HR0
BA.100
SLG.100
HH%33%
wOBA.145
HR0
BA.250
SLG.438
HH%7%
wOBA.368
Avg0.0
HR0
G4
DateOppScoreABHHR
09/03/25
@
L 0-3100
09/02/25
@
L 7-9530
04/26/25
vs
W 8-4300
04/25/25
vs
L 0-3400
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
33/100
3.0% HR/PA on the season (6 HR in 201 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
43/100
Barrel 9.5% • HardHit 39.4%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
20/100
0.62 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
36/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .178 (150 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
0/100
0 HR, .182 AVG in 11 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
41/100
2 HR in last 15 G (61 PA)

Batter Season

PA201
HR6
HR/PA3.0%
ISO.133
OPS0.720
Barrel%9.5%
HardHit%39.4%
Avg EV90.0 mph

Pitcher Season

IP73.0
ERA4.81
WHIP1.23
HR5
HR/90.62
K/96.78
BB/92.84
Barrel% Allowed4.9%
HardHit% Allowed39.0%

Head-to-Head

PA11
AB11
H2
HR0
BB0
K3
AVG.182
OPS0.364
Batter vs RHP this season
150 PA · 6 HR · 0.817 OPS