DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
Back to CHC @ PIT
BATTER
CHC
Michael Busch
PITCHER
PIT
Paul Skenes
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
MICHAEL
BUSCH
VS
PAUL
SKENES
27FADE
CHC @ PIT
1 HR/24 PA
BUSCH
HNDLEFT
HR10/13 vRHP
SLG%.405
Brl/PA%6.0
AVG.247
HIT/G96/104
SKENES
RIGHTHND
6/11 vLHBHR
.357SLG%
4.1Brl/PA%
3.65ERA
0.82HR/9
PIT PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Skenes65th %86th %96th %70th %85th %
Bullpen48th %41st %66th %57th %64th %
Busch BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs SKENES7216.7%0.3894.2%25.0%
L3 vs PIT Bullpen9912.1%0.2503.0%6.1%
'26 vs RHP32920.4%0.4093.0%14.3%
'26 All Games46820.5%0.4052.8%14.1%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 41%
HR6
BA.225
SLG.394
HH%41%
wOBA.332
HR3
BA.203
SLG.346
HH%46%
wOBA.272
SweeperUSE 16%
HR0
BA.292
SLG.500
HH%45%
wOBA.374
HR0
BA.128
SLG.255
HH%22%
wOBA.216
ChangeupUSE 15%
HR0
BA.173
SLG.231
HH%23%
wOBA.222
HR1
BA.247
SLG.397
HH%17%
wOBA.294
Split-FingerUSE 11%
HR0
BA.250
SLG.250
HH%14%
wOBA.320
HR0
BA.340
SLG.396
HH%37%
wOBA.364
SinkerUSE 10%
HR1
BA.288
SLG.458
HH%48%
wOBA.435
HR1
BA.292
SLG.458
HH%53%
wOBA.375
SliderUSE 6%
HR0
BA.261
SLG.391
HH%32%
wOBA.331
HR1
BA.159
SLG.295
HH%38%
wOBA.262
CurveballUSE 1%
HR0
BA.304
SLG.348
HH%46%
wOBA.395
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

CHC batter · PIT pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−3.8%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
8/228 · 3.5%
Home/Home
7/295 · 2.4%
5/240 · 2.1%
Away/Away
4/195 · 2.1%
7/196 · 3.6%
Day/Day
6/183 · 3.3%
6/272 · 2.2%
Night/Night
5/307 · 1.6%
3/139 · 2.2%
vs L/vs L
6/298 · 2.0%
10/329 · 3.0%
vs R/vs R
5/192 · 2.6%
Avg0.1
HR3
G23
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/26/26
@
L 7-8420
07/25/26
@
W 11-0630
07/24/26
@
W 3-2500
05/28/26
@
W 7-2300
05/27/26
@
W 10-4310
05/26/26
@
L 1-12410
05/25/26
@
L 1-2411
04/12/26
vs
W 7-6110
04/11/26
vs
L 3-4300
04/10/26
vs
L 0-2500
09/17/25
@
W 8-4200
09/16/25
@
W 4-1431
09/15/25
@
W 4-0511
08/17/25
vs
W 4-3400
08/16/25
vs
W 3-1410
08/15/25
vs
L 2-3200
06/15/25
vs
W 3-2420
06/14/25
vs
W 2-1300
06/13/25
vs
L 1-2410
06/12/25
vs
W 3-2200
05/01/25
@
W 8-3520
04/30/25
@
L 3-4300
04/29/25
@
W 9-0410
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
30/100
2.8% HR/PA on the season (13 HR in 468 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
33/100
Barrel 6.0% • HardHit 40.6%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
26/100
0.82 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
27/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .164 (329 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
21/100
1 HR, .222 AVG in 24 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
36/100
2 HR in last 15 G (70 PA)

Batter Season

PA468
HR13
HR/PA2.8%
ISO.158
OPS0.773
Barrel%6.0%
HardHit%40.6%
Avg EV88.5 mph

Pitcher Season

IP120.2
ERA3.65
WHIP1.06
HR11
HR/90.82
K/911.11
BB/92.09
Barrel% Allowed4.1%
HardHit% Allowed37.8%

Head-to-Head

PA24
AB18
H4
HR1
BB6
K9
AVG.222
OPS0.806
Batter vs RHP this season
329 PA · 10 HR · 0.774 OPS