DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
Back to CHC @ PIT
BATTER
CHC
Nico Hoerner
PITCHER
PIT
Paul Skenes
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
NICO
HOERNER
VS
PAUL
SKENES
13FADE
CHC @ PIT
1 HR/6 PA
HOERNER
HNDRIGHT
HR2/4 vRHP
SLG%.337
Brl/PA%0.7
AVG.247
HIT/G102/103
SKENES
RIGHTHND
5/11 vRHBHR
.357SLG%
4.1Brl/PA%
3.65ERA
0.82HR/9
PIT PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Skenes65th %86th %96th %70th %85th %
Bullpen48th %41st %66th %57th %64th %
Hoerner BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs SKENES6025.0%0.4445.0%5.0%
L3 vs PIT Bullpen11137.8%0.4520.0%13.5%
'26 vs RHP33920.4%0.3010.6%8.6%
'26 All Games45922.2%0.3370.9%7.8%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 41%
HR1
BA.194
SLG.295
HH%33%
wOBA.278
HR2
BA.203
SLG.346
HH%46%
wOBA.272
SweeperUSE 16%
HR1
BA.520
SLG.720
HH%23%
wOBA.619
HR2
BA.128
SLG.255
HH%22%
wOBA.216
ChangeupUSE 15%
HR0
BA.119
SLG.167
HH%22%
wOBA.137
HR0
BA.247
SLG.397
HH%17%
wOBA.294
Split-FingerUSE 11%
HR0
BA.250
SLG.250
HH%17%
wOBA.200
HR0
BA.340
SLG.396
HH%37%
wOBA.364
SinkerUSE 10%
HR0
BA.253
SLG.326
HH%35%
wOBA.318
HR1
BA.292
SLG.458
HH%53%
wOBA.375
SliderUSE 6%
HR0
BA.276
SLG.362
HH%19%
wOBA.299
HR0
BA.159
SLG.295
HH%38%
wOBA.262
CurveballUSE 1%
HR0
BA.174
SLG.261
HH%10%
wOBA.198
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

CHC batter · PIT pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−1.3%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
2/230 · 0.9%
Home/Home
7/295 · 2.4%
2/229 · 0.9%
Away/Away
4/195 · 2.1%
1/183 · 0.5%
Day/Day
6/183 · 3.3%
3/276 · 1.1%
Night/Night
5/307 · 1.6%
2/120 · 1.7%
vs L/vs L
6/298 · 2.0%
2/339 · 0.6%
vs R/vs R
5/192 · 2.6%
Avg0.0
HR0
G23
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/26/26
@
L 7-8420
07/25/26
@
W 11-0410
07/24/26
@
W 3-2410
05/28/26
@
W 7-2510
05/27/26
@
W 10-4520
05/26/26
@
L 1-12510
05/25/26
@
L 1-2100
04/12/26
vs
W 7-6520
04/11/26
vs
L 3-4610
04/10/26
vs
L 0-2410
09/17/25
@
W 8-4420
09/16/25
@
W 4-1530
09/15/25
@
W 4-0410
08/17/25
vs
W 4-3200
08/16/25
vs
W 3-1420
08/15/25
vs
L 2-3410
06/15/25
vs
W 3-2410
06/14/25
vs
W 2-1320
06/13/25
vs
L 1-2410
06/12/25
vs
W 3-2300
05/01/25
@
W 8-3400
04/30/25
@
L 3-4420
04/29/25
@
W 9-0310
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
0/100
0.9% HR/PA on the season (4 HR in 459 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
0/100
Barrel 0.7% • HardHit 28.2%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
26/100
0.82 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .073 (339 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
67/100
1 HR, .400 AVG in 6 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (62 PA)

Batter Season

PA459
HR4
HR/PA0.9%
ISO.090
OPS0.649
Barrel%0.7%
HardHit%28.2%
Avg EV86.1 mph

Pitcher Season

IP120.2
ERA3.65
WHIP1.06
HR11
HR/90.82
K/911.11
BB/92.09
Barrel% Allowed4.1%
HardHit% Allowed37.8%

Head-to-Head

PA6
AB5
H2
HR1
BB0
K0
AVG.400
OPS1.333
Batter vs RHP this season
339 PA · 2 HR · 0.602 OPS