BATTER
CHC
Michael Busch
PITCHER
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
MICHAEL
BUSCH
VS
BRAXTON
ASHCRAFT
31FADE
CHC @ PIT
1 HR/14 PA
BUSCH
HNDLEFT
HR10/13 vRHP
SLG%.405
Brl/PA%6.0
AVG.247
HIT/G96/104
ASHCRAFT
RIGHTHND
13/16 vLHBHR
.403SLG%
4.1Brl/PA%
4.05ERA
1.18HR/9
PIT PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Ashcraft52nd %66th %80th %45th %48th %
Bullpen48th %41st %66th %57th %64th %
Busch BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs ASHCRAFT4221.4%0.5007.1%14.3%
L3 vs PIT Bullpen9912.1%0.2503.0%6.1%
'26 vs RHP32920.4%0.4093.0%14.3%
'26 All Games46820.5%0.4052.8%14.1%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 32%
HR6
BA.225
SLG.394
HH%41%
wOBA.332
HR7
BA.301
SLG.537
HH%45%
wOBA.382
CurveballUSE 26%
HR0
BA.304
SLG.348
HH%46%
wOBA.395
HR2
BA.143
SLG.261
HH%38%
wOBA.212
SliderUSE 23%
HR0
BA.261
SLG.391
HH%32%
wOBA.331
HR3
BA.281
SLG.456
HH%38%
wOBA.363
SinkerUSE 14%
HR1
BA.288
SLG.458
HH%48%
wOBA.435
HR1
BA.234
SLG.312
HH%41%
wOBA.277
Split-FingerUSE 5%
HR0
BA.250
SLG.250
HH%14%
wOBA.320
HR0
BA.389
SLG.389
HH%38%
wOBA.350

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

CHC batter · PIT pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+0.6%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
8/228 · 3.5%
Home/Home
6/267 · 2.2%
5/240 · 2.1%
Away/Away
10/240 · 4.2%
7/196 · 3.6%
Day/Day
6/238 · 2.5%
6/272 · 2.2%
Night/Night
10/269 · 3.7%
3/139 · 2.2%
vs L/vs L
13/298 · 4.4%
10/329 · 3.0%
vs R/vs R
3/209 · 1.4%
Avg0.1
HR3
G23
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/26/26
@
L 7-8420
07/25/26
@
W 11-0630
07/24/26
@
W 3-2500
05/28/26
@
W 7-2300
05/27/26
@
W 10-4310
05/26/26
@
L 1-12410
05/25/26
@
L 1-2411
04/12/26
vs
W 7-6110
04/11/26
vs
L 3-4300
04/10/26
vs
L 0-2500
09/17/25
@
W 8-4200
09/16/25
@
W 4-1431
09/15/25
@
W 4-0511
08/17/25
vs
W 4-3400
08/16/25
vs
W 3-1410
08/15/25
vs
L 2-3200
06/15/25
vs
W 3-2420
06/14/25
vs
W 2-1300
06/13/25
vs
L 1-2410
06/12/25
vs
W 3-2200
05/01/25
@
W 8-3520
04/30/25
@
L 3-4300
04/29/25
@
W 9-0410
Advertisement

Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
30/100
2.8% HR/PA on the season (13 HR in 468 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
33/100
Barrel 6.0% • HardHit 40.6%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
37/100
1.18 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
27/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .164 (329 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
36/100
1 HR, .250 AVG in 14 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
36/100
2 HR in last 15 G (70 PA)

Batter Season

PA468
HR13
HR/PA2.8%
ISO.158
OPS0.773
Barrel%6.0%
HardHit%40.6%
Avg EV88.5 mph

Pitcher Season

IP122.1
ERA4.05
WHIP1.19
HR16
HR/91.18
K/99.93
BB/92.21
Barrel% Allowed4.1%
HardHit% Allowed40.8%

Head-to-Head

PA14
AB12
H3
HR1
BB2
K6
AVG.250
OPS0.857
Batter vs RHP this season
329 PA · 10 HR · 0.774 OPS