BATTER
CHC
Nico Hoerner
PITCHER
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
NICO
HOERNER
VS
BRAXTON
ASHCRAFT
9FADE
CHC @ PIT
0 HR/15 PA
HOERNER
HNDRIGHT
HR2/4 vRHP
SLG%.337
Brl/PA%0.7
AVG.247
HIT/G102/103
ASHCRAFT
RIGHTHND
3/16 vRHBHR
.403SLG%
4.1Brl/PA%
4.05ERA
1.18HR/9
PIT PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Ashcraft52nd %66th %80th %45th %48th %
Bullpen48th %41st %66th %57th %64th %
Hoerner BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs ASHCRAFT4526.7%0.2860.0%6.7%
L3 vs PIT Bullpen11137.8%0.4520.0%13.5%
'26 vs RHP33920.4%0.3010.6%8.6%
'26 All Games45922.2%0.3370.9%7.8%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 32%
HR1
BA.194
SLG.295
HH%33%
wOBA.278
HR0
BA.301
SLG.537
HH%45%
wOBA.382
CurveballUSE 26%
HR0
BA.174
SLG.261
HH%10%
wOBA.198
HR2
BA.143
SLG.261
HH%38%
wOBA.212
SliderUSE 23%
HR0
BA.276
SLG.362
HH%19%
wOBA.299
HR1
BA.281
SLG.456
HH%38%
wOBA.363
SinkerUSE 14%
HR0
BA.253
SLG.326
HH%35%
wOBA.318
HR0
BA.234
SLG.312
HH%41%
wOBA.277
Split-FingerUSE 5%
HR0
BA.250
SLG.250
HH%17%
wOBA.200
HR0
BA.389
SLG.389
HH%38%
wOBA.350

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

CHC batter · PIT pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/30/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−7.7%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
2/230 · 0.9%
Home/Home
6/267 · 2.2%
2/229 · 0.9%
Away/Away
10/240 · 4.2%
1/183 · 0.5%
Day/Day
6/238 · 2.5%
3/276 · 1.1%
Night/Night
10/269 · 3.7%
2/120 · 1.7%
vs L/vs L
13/298 · 4.4%
2/339 · 0.6%
vs R/vs R
3/209 · 1.4%
Avg0.0
HR0
G23
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/26/26
@
L 7-8420
07/25/26
@
W 11-0410
07/24/26
@
W 3-2410
05/28/26
@
W 7-2510
05/27/26
@
W 10-4520
05/26/26
@
L 1-12510
05/25/26
@
L 1-2100
04/12/26
vs
W 7-6520
04/11/26
vs
L 3-4610
04/10/26
vs
L 0-2410
09/17/25
@
W 8-4420
09/16/25
@
W 4-1530
09/15/25
@
W 4-0410
08/17/25
vs
W 4-3200
08/16/25
vs
W 3-1420
08/15/25
vs
L 2-3410
06/15/25
vs
W 3-2410
06/14/25
vs
W 2-1320
06/13/25
vs
L 1-2410
06/12/25
vs
W 3-2300
05/01/25
@
W 8-3400
04/30/25
@
L 3-4420
04/29/25
@
W 9-0310
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
0/100
0.9% HR/PA on the season (4 HR in 459 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
0/100
Barrel 0.7% • HardHit 28.2%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
37/100
1.18 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .073 (339 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
0/100
0 HR, .286 AVG in 15 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (62 PA)

Batter Season

PA459
HR4
HR/PA0.9%
ISO.090
OPS0.649
Barrel%0.7%
HardHit%28.2%
Avg EV86.1 mph

Pitcher Season

IP122.1
ERA4.05
WHIP1.19
HR16
HR/91.18
K/99.93
BB/92.21
Barrel% Allowed4.1%
HardHit% Allowed40.8%

Head-to-Head

PA15
AB14
H4
HR0
BB1
K1
AVG.286
OPS0.619
Batter vs RHP this season
339 PA · 2 HR · 0.602 OPS