DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
Live Slate
BATTER
CHC
PITCHER
PIT
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
CARSON
KELLY
VS
BRAXTON
ASHCRAFT
23FADE
CHC @ PIT
0 HR/3 PA
KELLY
HNDRIGHT
HR2/6 vRHP
SLG%.373
Brl/PA%4.4
AVG.257
HIT/G62/77
ASHCRAFT
RIGHTHND
3/16 vRHBHR
.403SLG%
4.1Brl/PA%
4.05ERA
1.18HR/9
| PIT Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Ashcraft | 52nd % | 66th % | 80th % | 45th % | 48th % |
| Bullpen | 48th % | 41st % | 66th % | 57th % | 64th % |
| Kelly Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs ASHCRAFT | 27 | 22.2% | 0.222 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| L3 vs PIT Bullpen | 78 | 7.7% | 0.095 | 0.0% | 19.2% |
| '26 vs RHP | 179 | 19.6% | 0.283 | 1.1% | 9.5% |
| '26 All Games | 275 | 22.5% | 0.373 | 2.2% | 11.3% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
4-Seam FastballUSE 32%
HR0
BA.266
SLG.313
HH%42%
wOBA.342
HR0
BA.301
SLG.537
HH%45%
wOBA.382
0
.266
.313
42%
.342
4-Seam Fastball32%
SLG vs ref · 77 PA | 152 PA
0
.301
.537
45%
.382
CurveballUSE 26%
HR0
BA.111
SLG.111
HH%22%
wOBA.100
HR2
BA.143
SLG.261
HH%38%
wOBA.212
0
.111*
.111
22%
.100
Curveball26%
SLG vs ref · 9 PA | 130 PA
2
.143
.261
38%
.212
SliderUSE 23%
HR1
BA.205
SLG.295
HH%27%
wOBA.309
HR1
BA.281
SLG.456
HH%38%
wOBA.363
1
.205
.295
27%
.309
Slider23%
SLG vs ref · 52 PA | 124 PA
1
.281
.456
38%
.363
SinkerUSE 14%
HR0
BA.293
SLG.379
HH%36%
wOBA.341
HR0
BA.234
SLG.312
HH%41%
wOBA.277
0
.293
.379
36%
.341
Sinker14%
SLG vs ref · 63 PA | 83 PA
0
.234
.312
41%
.277
Split-FingerUSE 5%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%100%
wOBA.000
HR0
BA.389
SLG.389
HH%38%
wOBA.350
0
.000*
.000
100%
.000
Split-Finger5%
SLG vs ref · 4 PA | 18 PA
0
.389
.389
38%
.350
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
CHC batter · PIT pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/30/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−7.4%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
2/137 · 1.5%
VenueHome/Home
6/267 · 2.2%
4/138 · 2.9%
Away/Away
10/240 · 4.2%
3/128 · 2.3%
First PitchDay/Day
6/238 · 2.5%
3/147 · 2.0%
Night/Night
10/269 · 3.7%
4/96 · 4.2%
Matchupvs L/vs L
13/298 · 4.4%
2/179 · 1.1%
vs R/vs R
3/209 · 1.4%
Avg0.1
HR1
G17
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/26/26 | @ | L 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 07/24/26 | @ | W 3-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 05/27/26 | @ | W 10-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 05/26/26 | @ | L 1-12 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 05/25/26 | @ | L 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 04/12/26 | vs | W 7-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 04/11/26 | vs | L 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 04/10/26 | vs | L 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 09/16/25 | @ | W 4-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 09/15/25 | @ | W 4-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 08/17/25 | vs | W 4-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 08/16/25 | vs | W 3-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 08/15/25 | vs | L 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/14/25 | vs | W 2-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/12/25 | vs | W 3-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 04/30/25 | @ | L 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 04/29/25 | @ | W 9-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
20/100
2.2% HR/PA on the season (6 HR in 275 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
22/100
Barrel 4.4% • HardHit 37.6%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
37/100
1.18 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .063 (179 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .333 AVG in 3 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
44/100
2 HR in last 15 G (57 PA)
Batter Season
PA275
HR6
HR/PA2.2%
ISO.116
OPS0.722
Barrel%4.4%
HardHit%37.6%
Avg EV87.8 mph
Pitcher Season
IP122.1
ERA4.05
WHIP1.19
HR16
HR/91.18
K/99.93
BB/92.21
Barrel% Allowed4.1%
HardHit% Allowed40.8%
Head-to-Head
PA3
AB3
H1
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.333
OPS0.667
Batter vs RHP this season
179 PA · 2 HR · 0.590 OPS