BATTER
CHC
Alex Bregman
PITCHER
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
ALEX
BREGMAN
VS
BRAXTON
ASHCRAFT
22FADE
CHC @ PIT
0 HR/5 PA
BREGMAN
HNDRIGHT
HR8/10 vRHP
SLG%.351
Brl/PA%3.0
AVG.234
HIT/G94/102
ASHCRAFT
RIGHTHND
3/16 vRHBHR
.403SLG%
4.1Brl/PA%
4.05ERA
1.18HR/9
PIT PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Ashcraft52nd %66th %80th %45th %48th %
Bullpen48th %41st %66th %57th %64th %
Bregman BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs ASHCRAFT1540.0%0.4000.0%0.0%
L3 vs PIT Bullpen9030.0%0.4623.3%10.0%
'26 vs RHP34820.4%0.3592.3%9.8%
'26 All Games46820.1%0.3512.1%11.3%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 32%
HR2
BA.245
SLG.364
HH%44%
wOBA.315
HR0
BA.301
SLG.537
HH%45%
wOBA.382
CurveballUSE 26%
HR0
BA.188
SLG.219
HH%11%
wOBA.210
HR2
BA.143
SLG.261
HH%38%
wOBA.212
SliderUSE 23%
HR2
BA.161
SLG.290
HH%33%
wOBA.284
HR1
BA.281
SLG.456
HH%38%
wOBA.363
SinkerUSE 14%
HR0
BA.280
SLG.301
HH%35%
wOBA.342
HR0
BA.234
SLG.312
HH%41%
wOBA.277
Split-FingerUSE 5%
HR0
BA.200
SLG.600
HH%67%
wOBA.383
HR0
BA.389
SLG.389
HH%38%
wOBA.350

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

CHC batter · PIT pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 3/30/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−3.6%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
4/240 · 1.7%
Home/Home
6/267 · 2.2%
6/228 · 2.6%
Away/Away
10/240 · 4.2%
5/189 · 2.6%
Day/Day
6/238 · 2.5%
5/279 · 1.8%
Night/Night
10/269 · 3.7%
2/120 · 1.7%
vs L/vs L
13/298 · 4.4%
8/348 · 2.3%
vs R/vs R
3/209 · 1.4%
Avg0.0
HR0
G12
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/25/26
@
W 11-0500
07/24/26
@
W 3-2300
05/28/26
@
W 7-2510
05/27/26
@
W 10-4620
05/26/26
@
L 1-12420
05/25/26
@
L 1-2420
04/12/26
vs
W 7-6310
04/11/26
vs
L 3-4620
04/10/26
vs
L 0-2410
08/31/25
vs
W 5-2310
08/30/25
vs
L 3-10500
08/29/25
vs
L 2-4400
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
19/100
2.1% HR/PA on the season (10 HR in 468 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
15/100
Barrel 3.0% • HardHit 36.0%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
37/100
1.18 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
4/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .127 (348 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .400 AVG in 5 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
54/100
3 HR in last 15 G (69 PA)

Batter Season

PA468
HR10
HR/PA2.1%
ISO.117
OPS0.682
Barrel%3.0%
HardHit%36.0%
Avg EV87.9 mph

Pitcher Season

IP122.1
ERA4.05
WHIP1.19
HR16
HR/91.18
K/99.93
BB/92.21
Barrel% Allowed4.1%
HardHit% Allowed40.8%

Head-to-Head

PA5
AB5
H2
HR0
BB0
K1
AVG.400
OPS0.800
Batter vs RHP this season
348 PA · 8 HR · 0.675 OPS