DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
PIT
PITCHER
AZ
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
ESMERLYN
VALDEZ
VS
MERRILL
KELLY
75STRONG
AZ @ PIT
VALDEZ
HNDRIGHT
HR7/14 vRHP
SLG%.702
Brl/PA%14.0
AVG.290
HIT/G36/38
KELLY
RIGHTHND
8/22 vRHBHR
.510SLG%
10.2Brl/PA%
4.86ERA
1.81HR/9
| AZ Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Kelly | 30th % | 22nd % | 5th % | 18th % | 14th % |
| Bullpen | 84th % | 86th % | 43rd % | 79th % | 86th % |
| Valdez Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs KELLY | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| L3 vs AZ Bullpen | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| '26 vs RHP | 90 | 23.3% | 0.577 | 7.8% | 12.2% |
| '26 All Games | 145 | 24.8% | 0.702 | 9.7% | 13.1% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
4-Seam FastballUSE 27%
HR1
BA.282
SLG.692
HH%68%
wOBA.442
HR2
BA.312
SLG.688
HH%51%
wOBA.457
1
.282
.692
68%
.442
4-Seam Fastball27%
SLG vs ref · 45 PA | 109 PA
2
.312
.688
51%
.457
ChangeupUSE 26%
HR0
BA.071
SLG.071
HH%20%
wOBA.176
HR1
BA.197
SLG.291
HH%40%
wOBA.254
0
.071
.071
20%
.176
Changeup26%
SLG vs ref · 17 PA | 128 PA
1
.197
.291
40%
.254
CutterUSE 14%
HR2
BA.333
SLG.1111
HH%67%
wOBA.583
HR2
BA.406
SLG.813
HH%53%
wOBA.531
2
.333*
.1111
67%
.583
Cutter14%
SLG vs ref · 9 PA | 71 PA
2
.406
.813
53%
.531
CurveballUSE 12%
HR0
BA.250
SLG.625
HH%75%
wOBA.400
HR0
BA.182
SLG.333
HH%41%
wOBA.258
0
.250*
.625
75%
.400
Curveball12%
SLG vs ref · 9 PA | 36 PA
0
.182
.333
41%
.258
SliderUSE 11%
HR1
BA.438
SLG.1250
HH%64%
wOBA.691
HR0
BA.245
SLG.358
HH%26%
wOBA.288
1
.438
.1250
64%
.691
Slider11%
SLG vs ref · 17 PA | 56 PA
0
.245
.358
26%
.288
SinkerUSE 10%
HR1
BA.458
SLG.833
HH%47%
wOBA.550
HR3
BA.357
SLG.595
HH%54%
wOBA.421
1
.458
.833
47%
.550
Sinker10%
SLG vs ref · 29 PA | 49 PA
3
.357
.595
54%
.421
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
PIT batter · AZ pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−11.1%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
9/67 · 13.4%
VenueHome/Home
12/195 · 6.2%
5/76 · 6.6%
Away/Away
10/256 · 3.9%
10/64 · 15.6%
First PitchDay/Day
8/198 · 4.0%
4/79 · 5.1%
Night/Night
14/253 · 5.5%
7/53 · 13.2%
Matchupvs L/vs L
14/260 · 5.4%
7/90 · 7.8%
vs R/vs R
8/191 · 4.2%
Avg0.0
HR0
G1
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/27/26 | vs | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
100/100
9.7% HR/PA on the season (14 HR in 145 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
85/100
Barrel 14.0% • HardHit 54.3%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
57/100
1.81 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
100/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .308 (90 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
100/100
8 HR in last 15 G (62 PA)
Batter Season
PA145
HR14
HR/PA9.7%
ISO.412
OPS1.088
Barrel%14.0%
HardHit%54.3%
Avg EV92.9 mph
Pitcher Season
IP109.1
ERA4.86
WHIP1.45
HR22
HR/91.81
K/95.84
BB/93.46
Barrel% Allowed10.2%
HardHit% Allowed45.0%
Head-to-Head
No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs RHP this season
90 PA · 7 HR · 0.933 OPS