BATTER
PIT
Bryan Reynolds
PITCHER
AZ
Merrill Kelly
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
BRYAN
REYNOLDS
VS
MERRILL
KELLY
37AVERAGE
AZ @ PIT
0 HR/6 PA
REYNOLDS
HNDSWITCH
HR8/14 vRHP
SLG%.450
Brl/PA%7.0
AVG.267
HIT/G104/107
KELLY
RIGHTHND
14/22 vSHBHR
.510SLG%
10.2Brl/PA%
4.86ERA
1.81HR/9
AZ PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Kelly30th %22nd %5th %18th %14th %
Bullpen84th %86th %43rd %79th %86th %
Reynolds BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs KELLY360.0%0.0000.0%0.0%
L3 vs AZ Bullpen3938.5%0.4550.0%15.4%
'26 vs RHP30921.4%0.4312.6%15.2%
'26 All Games46322.5%0.4503.0%13.8%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs SHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 27%
HR5
BA.321
SLG.571
HH%53%
wOBA.436
HR8
BA.312
SLG.688
HH%51%
wOBA.457
ChangeupUSE 26%
HR1
BA.234
SLG.406
HH%35%
wOBA.323
HR1
BA.197
SLG.291
HH%40%
wOBA.254
CutterUSE 14%
HR0
BA.179
SLG.321
HH%44%
wOBA.314
HR4
BA.406
SLG.813
HH%53%
wOBA.531
CurveballUSE 12%
HR0
BA.280
SLG.480
HH%47%
wOBA.352
HR1
BA.182
SLG.333
HH%41%
wOBA.258
SliderUSE 11%
HR1
BA.154
SLG.269
HH%42%
wOBA.290
HR0
BA.245
SLG.358
HH%26%
wOBA.288
SinkerUSE 10%
HR0
BA.372
SLG.488
HH%62%
wOBA.456
HR0
BA.357
SLG.595
HH%54%
wOBA.421

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

PIT batter · AZ pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−1.6%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
6/236 · 2.5%
Home/Home
12/195 · 6.2%
8/224 · 3.6%
Away/Away
10/256 · 3.9%
6/211 · 2.8%
Day/Day
8/198 · 4.0%
8/249 · 3.2%
Night/Night
14/253 · 5.5%
6/151 · 4.0%
vs L/vs L
14/260 · 5.4%
8/309 · 2.6%
vs R/vs R
8/191 · 4.2%
Avg0.1
HR1
G10
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/27/26
vs
1-2300
05/07/26
@
W 4-2300
05/06/26
@
W 1-0420
05/05/26
@
L 0-9300
07/27/25
vs
W 6-0310
07/26/25
vs
W 2-0400
07/25/25
vs
L 0-1500
05/28/25
@
W 10-1510
05/27/25
@
W 9-6441
05/26/25
@
L 0-5400
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
34/100
3.0% HR/PA on the season (14 HR in 463 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
48/100
Barrel 7.0% • HardHit 46.8%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
57/100
1.81 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
31/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .170 (309 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .000 AVG in 6 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
20/100
1 HR in last 15 G (62 PA)

Batter Season

PA463
HR14
HR/PA3.0%
ISO.183
OPS0.830
Barrel%7.0%
HardHit%46.8%
Avg EV90.9 mph

Pitcher Season

IP109.1
ERA4.86
WHIP1.45
HR22
HR/91.81
K/95.84
BB/93.46
Barrel% Allowed10.2%
HardHit% Allowed45.0%

Head-to-Head

PA6
AB6
H0
HR0
BB0
K2
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
309 PA · 8 HR · 0.819 OPS