DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
PIT
PITCHER
AZ
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
BRANDON
LOWE
VS
MERRILL
KELLY
55SOLID
AZ @ PIT
1 HR/6 PA
LOWE
HNDLEFT
HR17/21 vRHP
SLG%.473
Brl/PA%7.7
AVG.247
HIT/G95/98
KELLY
RIGHTHND
14/22 vLHBHR
.510SLG%
10.2Brl/PA%
4.86ERA
1.81HR/9
| AZ Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Kelly | 30th % | 22nd % | 5th % | 18th % | 14th % |
| Bullpen | 84th % | 86th % | 43rd % | 79th % | 86th % |
| Lowe Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs KELLY | 18 | 33.3% | 1.000 | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| L3 vs AZ Bullpen | 51 | 35.3% | 0.563 | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| '26 vs RHP | 302 | 22.8% | 0.526 | 5.6% | 10.3% |
| '26 All Games | 434 | 21.9% | 0.473 | 4.8% | 9.2% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
4-Seam FastballUSE 27%
HR8
BA.267
SLG.622
HH%53%
wOBA.415
HR8
BA.312
SLG.688
HH%51%
wOBA.457
8
.267
.622
53%
.415
4-Seam Fastball27%
SLG vs ref · 106 PA | 109 PA
8
.312
.688
51%
.457
ChangeupUSE 26%
HR4
BA.234
SLG.532
HH%33%
wOBA.339
HR1
BA.197
SLG.291
HH%40%
wOBA.254
4
.234
.532
33%
.339
Changeup26%
SLG vs ref · 51 PA | 128 PA
1
.197
.291
40%
.254
CutterUSE 14%
HR1
BA.273
SLG.424
HH%40%
wOBA.362
HR4
BA.406
SLG.813
HH%53%
wOBA.531
1
.273
.424
40%
.362
Cutter14%
SLG vs ref · 39 PA | 71 PA
4
.406
.813
53%
.531
CurveballUSE 12%
HR1
BA.342
SLG.579
HH%48%
wOBA.418
HR1
BA.182
SLG.333
HH%41%
wOBA.258
1
.342
.579
48%
.418
Curveball12%
SLG vs ref · 44 PA | 36 PA
1
.182
.333
41%
.258
SliderUSE 11%
HR3
BA.208
SLG.458
HH%42%
wOBA.291
HR0
BA.245
SLG.358
HH%26%
wOBA.288
3
.208
.458
42%
.291
Slider11%
SLG vs ref · 76 PA | 56 PA
0
.245
.358
26%
.288
SinkerUSE 10%
HR0
BA.286
SLG.367
HH%57%
wOBA.338
HR0
BA.357
SLG.595
HH%54%
wOBA.421
0
.286
.367
57%
.338
Sinker10%
SLG vs ref · 58 PA | 49 PA
0
.357
.595
54%
.421
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
PIT batter · AZ pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+0.5%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
10/228 · 4.4%
VenueHome/Home
12/195 · 6.2%
11/203 · 5.4%
Away/Away
10/256 · 3.9%
11/194 · 5.7%
First PitchDay/Day
8/198 · 4.0%
10/237 · 4.2%
Night/Night
14/253 · 5.5%
4/129 · 3.1%
Matchupvs L/vs L
14/260 · 5.4%
17/302 · 5.6%
vs R/vs R
8/191 · 4.2%
Avg0.3
HR2
G6
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/27/26 | vs | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 05/07/26 | @ | W 4-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 05/06/26 | @ | W 1-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 04/24/25 | @ | W 7-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 04/23/25 | @ | W 7-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 04/22/25 | @ | L 1-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
64/100
4.8% HR/PA on the season (21 HR in 434 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
47/100
Barrel 7.7% • HardHit 45.1%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
57/100
1.81 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
92/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .267 (302 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
67/100
1 HR, .400 AVG in 6 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
20/100
1 HR in last 15 G (63 PA)
Batter Season
PA434
HR21
HR/PA4.8%
ISO.226
OPS0.789
Barrel%7.7%
HardHit%45.1%
Avg EV90.9 mph
Pitcher Season
IP109.1
ERA4.86
WHIP1.45
HR22
HR/91.81
K/95.84
BB/93.46
Barrel% Allowed10.2%
HardHit% Allowed45.0%
Head-to-Head
PA6
AB5
H2
HR1
BB1
K1
AVG.400
OPS1.500
Batter vs RHP this season
302 PA · 17 HR · 0.864 OPS