BATTER
PIT
Jake Mangum
PITCHER
AZ
Merrill Kelly
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
JAKE
MANGUM
VS
MERRILL
KELLY
19FADE
AZ @ PIT
0 HR/1 PA
MANGUM
HNDSWITCH
HR2/2 vRHP
SLG%.371
Brl/PA%1.0
AVG.303
HIT/G81/85
KELLY
RIGHTHND
14/22 vSHBHR
.510SLG%
10.2Brl/PA%
4.86ERA
1.81HR/9
AZ PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Kelly30th %22nd %5th %18th %14th %
Bullpen84th %86th %43rd %79th %86th %
Mangum BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs KELLY30.0%0.0000.0%0.0%
L3 vs AZ Bullpen30.0%0.0000.0%100.0%
'26 vs RHP21327.7%0.3870.9%5.2%
'26 All Games29127.8%0.3710.7%4.8%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs SHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 27%
HR1
BA.304
SLG.406
HH%29%
wOBA.373
HR8
BA.312
SLG.688
HH%51%
wOBA.457
ChangeupUSE 26%
HR0
BA.317
SLG.317
HH%16%
wOBA.285
HR1
BA.197
SLG.291
HH%40%
wOBA.254
CutterUSE 14%
HR1
BA.269
SLG.385
HH%25%
wOBA.333
HR4
BA.406
SLG.813
HH%53%
wOBA.531
CurveballUSE 12%
HR0
BA.429
SLG.536
HH%23%
wOBA.423
HR1
BA.182
SLG.333
HH%41%
wOBA.258
SliderUSE 11%
HR0
BA.250
SLG.250
HH%37%
wOBA.286
HR0
BA.245
SLG.358
HH%26%
wOBA.288
SinkerUSE 10%
HR0
BA.226
SLG.290
HH%30%
wOBA.282
HR0
BA.357
SLG.595
HH%54%
wOBA.421

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

PIT batter · AZ pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+1.4%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
2/148 · 1.4%
Home/Home
12/195 · 6.2%
0/140 · 0.0%
Away/Away
10/256 · 3.9%
2/146 · 1.4%
Day/Day
8/198 · 4.0%
0/142 · 0.0%
Night/Night
14/253 · 5.5%
0/75 · 0.0%
vs L/vs L
14/260 · 5.4%
2/213 · 0.9%
vs R/vs R
8/191 · 4.2%
Avg0.0
HR0
G4
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/27/26
vs
1-2310
05/05/26
@
L 0-9300
04/23/25
@
W 7-6200
04/22/25
@
L 1-5220
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
0/100
0.7% HR/PA on the season (2 HR in 291 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
0/100
Barrel 1.0% • HardHit 25.2%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
57/100
1.81 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .083 (213 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
20/100
1 HR in last 15 G (61 PA)

Batter Season

PA291
HR2
HR/PA0.7%
ISO.068
OPS0.722
Barrel%1.0%
HardHit%25.2%
Avg EV84.7 mph

Pitcher Season

IP109.1
ERA4.86
WHIP1.45
HR22
HR/91.81
K/95.84
BB/93.46
Barrel% Allowed10.2%
HardHit% Allowed45.0%

Head-to-Head

PA1
AB1
H0
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
213 PA · 2 HR · 0.739 OPS