DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
AZ
PITCHER
PIT
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
NOLAN
ARENADO
VS
MITCH
KELLER
31FADE
AZ @ PIT
1 HR/29 PA
ARENADO
HNDRIGHT
HR10/14 vRHP
SLG%.421
Brl/PA%4.9
AVG.243
HIT/G83/100
KELLER
RIGHTHND
2/13 vRHBHR
.410SLG%
5.2Brl/PA%
4.83ERA
1.03HR/9
| PIT Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Keller | 33rd % | 44th % | 17th % | 38th % | 64th % |
| Bullpen | 48th % | 40th % | 66th % | 55th % | 63rd % |
| Arenado Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs KELLER | 87 | 13.8% | 0.259 | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| L3 vs PIT Bullpen | 57 | 26.3% | 0.313 | 0.0% | 10.5% |
| '26 vs RHP | 288 | 21.5% | 0.412 | 3.5% | 8.7% |
| '26 All Games | 387 | 21.4% | 0.421 | 3.6% | 9.3% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
4-Seam FastballUSE 32%
HR4
BA.269
SLG.559
HH%43%
wOBA.393
HR0
BA.237
SLG.322
HH%48%
wOBA.288
4
.269
.559
43%
.393
4-Seam Fastball32%
SLG vs ref · 107 PA | 130 PA
0
.237
.322
48%
.288
SinkerUSE 18%
HR3
BA.338
SLG.544
HH%41%
wOBA.410
HR0
BA.351
SLG.446
HH%53%
wOBA.416
3
.338
.544
41%
.410
Sinker18%
SLG vs ref · 77 PA | 88 PA
0
.351
.446
53%
.416
SweeperUSE 16%
HR0
BA.140
SLG.140
HH%11%
wOBA.206
HR1
BA.188
SLG.447
HH%34%
wOBA.305
0
.140
.140
11%
.206
Sweeper16%
SLG vs ref · 50 PA | 94 PA
1
.188
.447
34%
.305
CurveballUSE 9%
HR0
BA.130
SLG.174
HH%31%
wOBA.172
HR1
BA.161
SLG.323
HH%50%
wOBA.272
0
.130
.174
31%
.172
Curveball9%
SLG vs ref · 23 PA | 36 PA
1
.161
.323
50%
.272
SliderUSE 9%
HR2
BA.226
SLG.377
HH%23%
wOBA.312
HR0
BA.250
SLG.400
HH%38%
wOBA.301
2
.226
.377
23%
.312
Slider9%
SLG vs ref · 58 PA | 44 PA
0
.250
.400
38%
.301
ChangeupUSE 9%
HR0
BA.182
SLG.273
HH%25%
wOBA.218
HR0
BA.263
SLG.447
HH%35%
wOBA.326
0
.182
.273
25%
.218
Changeup9%
SLG vs ref · 36 PA | 38 PA
0
.263
.447
35%
.326
CutterUSE 8%
HR1
BA.353
SLG.647
HH%29%
wOBA.476
HR0
BA.323
SLG.613
HH%21%
wOBA.449
1
.353
.647
29%
.476
Cutter8%
SLG vs ref · 21 PA | 34 PA
0
.323
.613
21%
.449
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
AZ batter · PIT pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+2.1%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
8/186 · 4.3%
VenueHome/Home
6/255 · 2.4%
6/201 · 3.0%
Away/Away
7/209 · 3.3%
2/151 · 1.3%
First PitchDay/Day
2/224 · 0.9%
12/236 · 5.1%
Night/Night
11/240 · 4.6%
4/99 · 4.0%
Matchupvs L/vs L
11/299 · 3.7%
10/288 · 3.5%
vs R/vs R
2/165 · 1.2%
Avg0.0
HR0
G8
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 | vs | L 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 05/06/26 | vs | L 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 05/05/26 | vs | W 9-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/30/25 | @ | L 0-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 05/06/25 | vs | W 2-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 05/05/25 | vs | W 6-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 04/09/25 | @ | L 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 04/08/25 | @ | W 5-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
44/100
3.6% HR/PA on the season (14 HR in 387 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
16/100
Barrel 4.9% • HardHit 33.0%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
33/100
1.03 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
31/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .169 (288 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
17/100
1 HR, .148 AVG in 29 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
82/100
4 HR in last 15 G (61 PA)
Batter Season
PA387
HR14
HR/PA3.6%
ISO.178
OPS0.744
Barrel%4.9%
HardHit%33.0%
Avg EV85.2 mph
Pitcher Season
IP113.2
ERA4.83
WHIP1.31
HR13
HR/91.03
K/96.89
BB/93.01
Barrel% Allowed5.2%
HardHit% Allowed42.0%
Head-to-Head
PA29
AB27
H4
HR1
BB1
K4
AVG.148
OPS0.432
Batter vs RHP this season
288 PA · 10 HR · 0.735 OPS