DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
Live Slate
BATTER
PIT
PITCHER
AZ
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
MARCELL
OZUNA
VS
MERRILL
KELLY
35AVERAGE
AZ @ PIT
1 HR/6 PA
OZUNA
HNDRIGHT
HR4/8 vRHP
SLG%.325
Brl/PA%4.8
AVG.200
HIT/G48/67
KELLY
RIGHTHND
8/22 vRHBHR
.510SLG%
10.2Brl/PA%
4.86ERA
1.81HR/9
| AZ Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Kelly | 30th % | 22nd % | 5th % | 18th % | 14th % |
| Bullpen | 84th % | 86th % | 43rd % | 79th % | 86th % |
| Ozuna Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs KELLY | 18 | 33.3% | 1.000 | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| L3 vs AZ Bullpen | 78 | 23.1% | 0.429 | 3.8% | 15.4% |
| '26 vs RHP | 171 | 17.0% | 0.288 | 2.3% | 9.4% |
| '26 All Games | 269 | 17.8% | 0.325 | 3.0% | 10.0% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
4-Seam FastballUSE 27%
HR3
BA.266
SLG.443
HH%42%
wOBA.356
HR2
BA.312
SLG.688
HH%51%
wOBA.457
3
.266
.443
42%
.356
4-Seam Fastball27%
SLG vs ref · 91 PA | 109 PA
2
.312
.688
51%
.457
ChangeupUSE 26%
HR0
BA.130
SLG.130
HH%33%
wOBA.204
HR1
BA.197
SLG.291
HH%40%
wOBA.254
0
.130
.130
33%
.204
Changeup26%
SLG vs ref · 27 PA | 128 PA
1
.197
.291
40%
.254
CutterUSE 14%
HR0
BA.176
SLG.353
HH%18%
wOBA.250
HR2
BA.406
SLG.813
HH%53%
wOBA.531
0
.176
.353
18%
.250
Cutter14%
SLG vs ref · 18 PA | 71 PA
2
.406
.813
53%
.531
CurveballUSE 12%
HR0
BA.077
SLG.077
HH%60%
wOBA.069
HR0
BA.182
SLG.333
HH%41%
wOBA.258
0
.077*
.077
60%
.069
Curveball12%
SLG vs ref · 13 PA | 36 PA
0
.182
.333
41%
.258
SliderUSE 11%
HR0
BA.161
SLG.290
HH%36%
wOBA.286
HR0
BA.245
SLG.358
HH%26%
wOBA.288
0
.161
.290
36%
.286
Slider11%
SLG vs ref · 33 PA | 56 PA
0
.245
.358
26%
.288
SinkerUSE 10%
HR1
BA.228
SLG.333
HH%40%
wOBA.296
HR3
BA.357
SLG.595
HH%54%
wOBA.421
1
.228
.333
40%
.296
Sinker10%
SLG vs ref · 63 PA | 49 PA
3
.357
.595
54%
.421
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
PIT batter · AZ pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−0.2%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
6/134 · 4.5%
VenueHome/Home
12/195 · 6.2%
2/135 · 1.5%
Away/Away
10/256 · 3.9%
3/111 · 2.7%
First PitchDay/Day
8/198 · 4.0%
5/158 · 3.2%
Night/Night
14/253 · 5.5%
4/98 · 4.1%
Matchupvs L/vs L
14/260 · 5.4%
4/171 · 2.3%
vs R/vs R
8/191 · 4.2%
Avg0.1
HR1
G8
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 | @ | W 1-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 05/05/26 | @ | L 0-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/05/25 | vs | L 10-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 06/04/25 | vs | L 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/03/25 | vs | L 3-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 04/27/25 | @ | L 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 04/26/25 | @ | W 8-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 04/25/25 | @ | W 8-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
33/100
3.0% HR/PA on the season (8 HR in 269 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
25/100
Barrel 4.8% • HardHit 38.1%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
57/100
1.81 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .098 (171 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
67/100
1 HR, .400 AVG in 6 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
12/100
Park index 92 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
45/100
2 HR in last 15 G (56 PA)
Batter Season
PA269
HR8
HR/PA3.0%
ISO.125
OPS0.611
Barrel%4.8%
HardHit%38.1%
Avg EV89.3 mph
Pitcher Season
IP109.1
ERA4.86
WHIP1.45
HR22
HR/91.81
K/95.84
BB/93.46
Barrel% Allowed10.2%
HardHit% Allowed45.0%
Head-to-Head
PA6
AB5
H2
HR1
BB1
K0
AVG.400
OPS1.500
Batter vs RHP this season
171 PA · 4 HR · 0.563 OPS